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Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2025

Red Sox at Yankees

10:08 pm • ESPN

Boston Red Sox

89-73
@

New York Yankees

94-68
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Max Fried logoM.FriedNew York Yankees logo0.000-0
Garrett Crochet logoG.CrochetBoston Red Sox logo0.000-0

Red Sox at Yankees Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
89-73
+1.5
+1.5-194
o6.5-123
+118
Yankees
94-68
u7
-1.5+160
u6.5+102
-140
location pinTuesday 10:08 p.m.
September 30, 2025
Yankee StadiumBronx
thermometer image76°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image7Wind
Red Sox vs. Yankees Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 39-40-0 (-8.8u)
Under 6.5+100
2u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 102-119-7 (+35.0u)
BOS u2.5+122
1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 164-147-1 (+11.9u)
NYY -1.5+170
1u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 3-6-0 (-4.3u)
BOS +0.5 (F5)-130
1.3u
From John Stetson: The Yankees have been the significantly better offense v. southpaws over the past few weeks, but this is simply a spot where I'll trust Crochet to outpitch Fried early in this game. Fried has pitched against this Red Sox offense 3 times already this season and while the overall results look solid (1.96 ERA, 3.30 FIP) he's posted an elevated 1.42 WHIP and in their most recent meeting on September 13th he allowed 11 baserunners (2 runs) over just 5.1 innings of work. On the other side, Crochet had some issues in his first start against NY this season but has been dominant since. Over his L3 starts against the Yankees he's posted a 2.11 ERA, 1.54 xFIP, 37.0% K rate, and a miniscule 0.80 WHIP. He comes into this matchup fresh off an 8 inning shutout performance in a massive game on the road in Toronto and I expect him to carry that over here in the first postseason start of his career.
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 87-80-3 (+2.4u)
NYY -134
1.34u
Anders
Anders
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-3.7u)
Under 7-105
1.05u
+63U in MLB L2 Seasons👀 Happy Postseason
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 87-80-3 (+2.4u)
Under 7-110
1.1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 70-105-3 (-19.3u)
Under 7-110
1.1u
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Payoff Pitch Podcast
Last 30d: 48-62-5 (-0.7u)
Under 7-105
1u
@Zerillo https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
P.Goldschmidt To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+525
0.25u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
P.Goldschmidt To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+140
1u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
J.Duran To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+175
1u
@cowhitchurch https://myaction.app/4NoCEbKu4Wb
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 145-183-4 (-16.5u)
Under 7+100
1u
Bet to -115

Red Sox vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Red Sox

Public

Home Logo

Yankees

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees		80-8235-4645-3662-7218-9
Red Sox		75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Yankees		87-69-645-33-342-36-376-54-411-14-2
Red Sox		79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Yankees		8-644-3750-3176-5818-9
Red Sox		89-7338-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 28thBALW 3-2-1.5 LU 8.5NYY -182
Sep 27thBALW 6-1-1.5 WU 9NYY -235
Sep 26thBALW 8-4-1.5 WO 8.5NYY -144
Sep 25thCWSW 5-3-1.5 WU 8.5NYY -310
Sep 24thCWSW 8-1-1.5 WO 8NYY -390

Red Sox vs. Yankees Injury Updates

Red Sox Injuries

  • Jose De Leon
    RP

    De Leon is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tanner Houck
    SP

    Houck is out with arm

    Out

  • Patrick Sandoval
    SP

    Sandoval is out with elbow

    Out

  • Kutter Crawford
    SP

    Crawford is out with knee

    Out

  • Jovani Moran
    RP

    Moran is out with arm

    Out

Yankees Injuries

  • Gerrit Cole
    SP

    Cole is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

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Red Sox vs. Yankees Starting Lineups
Red Sox Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Garrett Crochet logoLG.Crochet, P18-52.591.02811.18
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Robert Refsnyder logo1R.Refsnyder, DH.269.354.4849
Trevor Story logo2T.Story, SS.263.308.43325
Alexander Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B.273.360.46218
Roman Gonzalez logo4R.Gonzalez, 1B.305.343.4839
Carlos Narvaez logo5C.Narvaez, C.241.306.41915
Nathan Eaton logo6N.Eaton, RF.296.348.3831
Jarren Duran logo7J.Duran, LF.256.332.44216
Ceddanne Rafaela logo8C.Rafaela, CF.249.295.41416
Nicholas Sogard logo9N.Sogard, 2B.260.317.3440
Yankees Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Max Fried logoLM.Fried, P19-52.861.1018.71
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Paul Goldschmidt logo1P.Goldschmidt, 1B.274.328.40310
Aaron Judge logo2A.Judge, RF.331.457.68853
Cody Bellinger logo3C.Bellinger, LF.272.334.48029
Giancarlo Stanton logo4G.Stanton, DH.273.350.59424
German Rosario logo5A.Rosario, 2B.303.303.4851
Trenton Grisham logo6T.Grisham, CF.235.348.46434
Anthony Volpe logo7A.Volpe, SS.212.272.39119
Austin Wells logo8A.Wells, C.219.275.43621
Jose Caballero logo9J.Caballero, 3B.226.327.3112

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Yankees Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
89-73
N/A
N/A
Yankees
94-68
N/A
N/A