Reds vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Reds at Giants

11:15 pm • FOX

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

1 - 5

San Francisco Giants

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Black			6.44	1-5
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-2	-1.5+114	o7.5-105	-148
Giants 0-0	+1.5-135	u7.5-115	+124

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

CIN -1-115

CIN -139

M.Black o4.5 Ks+120

0.5u

CIN -135

1.35u

CIN -110 (F5)

0.83u

Bet to -127 Target Giants Live after 5

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 29% against the Reds RPs over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Giants hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 32% over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Giants RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 32% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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Giants vs. Reds: Expert F5 Over/Under Bet
Nick Martin•
May 11, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Saturday
Charlie Disturco•
May 11, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (191/622) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (75/216) against Nick Lodolo this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	76-86	35-46	41-40	35-57	40-28
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	75-80-7	35-45-1	40-35-6	36-55-1	37-25-6
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	81-81	42-39	39-42	49-43	31-37
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	CIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7	CIN -145
May 9th	@COL	L 1-9	-	-	-
May 9th	@COL	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 9	SF -166
May 8th	@COL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 10	SF -163
May 6th	@PHI	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +192

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	98	6	6	4
LB.Suter, P	25	1	2	1
RB.Farmer, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	1
3M.Ford, DH	0-2	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Capel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Capel, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	3-4	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
9J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Black, P	78	4.1	2	1
LT.Rogers, P	12	0.2	2	0
RR.Walker, P	11	1	1	0
LE.Miller, P	20	1	0	0
RT.Rogers, P	10	1	1	0
RS.Hjelle, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Estrada, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
3P.Bailey, C	1-3	1	0	1
4W.Flores, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5H.Ramos, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5H.Ramos, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6M.Chapman, 3B	2-4	1	1	4
7M.Conforto, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, PR	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Schmitt, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Fitzgerald, CF	1-3	1	0	0