Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2025

Don’t normally like laying this amount of juice but huge mismatch here. Offensively and pitching. While COL doesn’t have an official starter yet, their ace Dollander wouldn’t be lined up to pitch today so any other pitcher they throw out there I’ll be fine going against. Burnes has been pitching a lot better lately after a not so smooth beginning to the season. He’s only allowed 3 ER total over his last 3 starts including against the Dodgers last game out. If he could shut them down he can handle one of the worst lineups in baseball who play even worse away from Coors Field. They hit .221 against RHP and hitting a combined .189 on the road, atrocious. Burnes has also been great at home with an ERA of 1.96 and an opponent BA of .190

Have Burnes projected for 6.09 strikeouts, which presents value in the under. He's off to a slow start, and Chase Field is one of the tougher parks in which to get strikeouts. The projection of 6.09 accounts for the elite matchup, and the under is still the play for me.