Royals vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 23, 2025

Royals at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Kansas City Royals

0-0

8 - 4

Chicago Cubs

2-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			3.95	11-7
S.Lugo			4.15	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-134	o9.5-124	+148
Cubs 2-1	u10.5	-1.5+112	u9.5-103	-181

Wednesday 6:20 p.m.

July 23, 2025

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 9.5-115

0.87u

CHC -160

CHC -1.5+125

KC +144

2.88u

🔑 Royals ML +144 (FanDuel) 2u Sharp fade angle: 84% of bets & 86% of ML money on Cubs, yet line movement shows resistance – signals sharp money backing KC. Pitching edge: Seth Lugo owns a 2.94 ERA & 1.09 WHIP on the year, with an even better 2.51 ERA on the road. Royals bats have decent numbers vs Colin Rea. Momentum spot: KC smashed Game 1 (12‑4) and have been a strong road team, covering F5 and RL in over 30 of their last 39 away games. Value: At +144, the implied win probability is ~42% vs models projecting higher; shop around and you can even find +150+.

CHC -1.5+120

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Under 10.5-102

0.51u

Tailing @Zerillo

Under 10.5-102

0.51u

Bet to 10 (-105)

CHC -146

0.5u

CHC -140

1.4u

CHC -140

1.4u

KC +135

4.05u

CHC -142

0.71u

Bet to -150

Over 10.5-104

1.5u

POTD

CHC -142

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Royals vs Cubs: F5 Play to Make
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Jul 23, 2025 UTC
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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 39-42 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	78-84	39-42	39-42	55-60	22-24
Royals	82-80	38-43	44-37	32-38	49-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	74-78-10	40-36-5	34-42-5	52-56-7	22-21-3
Royals	71-90-1	31-50	40-40-1	30-40	41-47-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	92-70	50-31	42-39	73-42	18-28
Royals	82-80	43-38	39-42	40-30	40-49

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 23rd	KC	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -263
Jul 22nd	KC	L 4-12	-1.5 L	O 7.5	KC -154
Jul 20th	BOS	L 1-6	+1.5 L	O 6.5	BOS +115
Jul 19th	BOS	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CHC -155
Jul 18th	BOS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	CHC -139

Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

Michael Soroka
SP
Soroka is out with shoulder
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	95	6	6	2
RS.Cruz, P	7	1	0	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	25	1	1	1
RL.Erceg, P	6	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Frazier, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
1A.Frazier, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
2M.Garcia, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	3-4	3	2	4
4S.Perez, DH	2-4	1	1	2
5J.Caglianone, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Rave, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rave, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7F.Fermin, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Isbel, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9T.Tolbert, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
9J.India, 2B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	82	5	3	5
LD.Pomeranz, P	21	1	2	2
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	0	0
RB.Kriske, P	35	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Kelly, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	0-2	1	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-3	0	0	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	1-3	0	0	1
8J.Turner, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Shaw, 3B	1-4	1	1	1