Twins vs. Angels Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2023

Twins at Angels

1:38 am • BSW

Minnesota Twins

13-17

4 - 5

Los Angeles Angels

12-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Detmers			4.48	4-10
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 13-17	-1.5+120	o7.5-115	-145
Angels 12-16	+1.5-145	u7.5-105	+120

Saturday 1:38 a.m.

May 20, 2023

Angel StadiumAnaheim

Under 8-105

MIN -135 (F5)

0.68u

Adding more with Trout out. Bet to -160. Reduce risk above -146

LAA +115

$115.00

Under 8-107

1.07u

LAA +108

1.08u

Available at FanDuel. This is partly just trying to pump the brakes on Joe Ryan while acknowledging that Reid Detmers is better than his results thus far. Detmers is getting strikeouts and should continue to do so against this Twins offense. Ryan, meanwhile, is elite and continues to prove that -- but his batted-ball data isn't perfect. There is room for him to come back to Earth a bit. My model puts the Angels' win odds at 51.8%, up from 48.1% implied.

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

1.17u

-114

J.Ryan o6.5 Ks-120

LAA runs RHH heavy - their best lineup right now is 6 righties, and even if they go 5, the lefties are relatively strikeout prone (mainly Thiass, Ohtani and Moniak). Pertinent because Ryan is good vs lefties (23.5% - big improvement from 18% last season), but excellent vs righties (36% - big bump from 31% last season). The split finger has really added to his arsenal. Over in 5/L7. LAA has not faced too many ace-caliber righties this season.

MIN -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -130

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The Angels are just 60-47 (.561) when favorites since last season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
Angels are 6-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Angels' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Angels' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	11-17	5-4	6-13	1-7	9-10
Twins	16-14	10-5	6-9	12-9	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Angels	13-14-1	3-5-1	10-9	2-5-1	11-8
Twins	11-16-3	5-9-1	6-7-2	8-11-2	3-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Angels	12-16	5-4	7-12	4-4	7-12
Twins	13-17	9-6	4-11	11-10	2-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	@BAL	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	LAA +140
May 17th	@BAL	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +132
May 16th	@BAL	L 3-7	+1.5 L	U 10	BAL +125
May 15th	@BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	LAA -116
May 14th	@CLE	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +107

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Yoan Moncada
IF
Moncada is out with thumb
Out

Willi Castro
IF
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	94	6	9	2
RG.Jax, P	33	0.2	1	2
RB.Stewart, P	11	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
1D.Solano, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
1J.Gallo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-1	1	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Farmer, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
5K. Garlick, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, PH	1-2	0	0	2
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-2	0	0	2
6R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Castro, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
7W.Castro, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7W.Castro, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
8T.Larnach, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Larnach, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Detmers, P	105	5.2	12	3
RJ.Herget, P	5	0.1	0	0
LT.Davidson, P	15	0.2	0	1
RZ.Weiss, P	10	0.1	1	0
LM.Moore, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Estevez, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Moniak, CF	3-4	0	1
2T.Ward, LF	0-3	1	1
3S.Ohtani, DH	0-3	0	0
4H.Renfroe, RF	3-4	1	1
5B.Drury, 1B	1-4	1	1
6G.Urshela, 3B	1-4	0	0
7L.Rengifo, 2B	0-3	0	0
8C. Wallach, C	0-2	0	0
8M.Thaiss, PH	0-2	0	0
8M.Thaiss, C	0-2	0	0
9Z.Neto, SS	2-3	2	0