The Milwaukee Brewers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 27, 2025. First pitch from American Family Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.
Find my MLB betting preview and Diamondbacks vs Brewers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
- Diamondbacks vs Brewers pick: Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Ks (-115)
My Diamondbacks vs Brewers best bet is Under 4.5 strikeouts for Ryne Nelson tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Odds
Diamondbacks Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | +118 |
Brewers Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8.5 -102o / -118u | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Ryne Nelson (ARI) | Stat | RHP Quinn Priester (MIL) |
---|---|---|
6-3 | W-L | 11-2 |
1.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
3.63 / 3.91 | ERA / xERA | 3.44 / 3.88 |
3.69 / 4.02 | FIP / xFIP | 4.37 / 3.87 |
1.07 | WHIP | 1.26 |
15.1 | K-BB% | 11.0 |
39.7 | GB% | 58.2 |
108 | Stuff+ | 98 |
99 | Location+ | 99 |
Alex Kolodziej’s Diamondbacks vs Brewers Preview, Prediction
For Diamondbacks vs. Brewers best bets, today’s top strikeout prop pick from PRO Projections is Arizona’s Ryne Nelson under 4.5/5.5 strikeouts.
Our proprietary PRO Projections aren’t just helpful for spreads, moneylines and totals, but also props. Expert analysis and predictive forecasting tabs Nelson for just 4.2 strikeouts in today’s outing. Against a line of 5.5 (-150) at BetMGM, this translates into a valuable +15.6% betting edge ahead of the lineup release.
While Nelson has reached six or more strikeouts in four of his last five games, it’s important to note that those starts came against three teams ranked in the bottom 12 for strikeouts per game over that period (Reds, Rockies, and Tigers). Prior to that hot streak, Nelson actually posted fewer than five strikeouts in four consecutive starts.
Miller Park ranks second in overall strikeouts allowed by pitchers, according to Statcast data. However, even here, PRO Projections expect a below-average strikeout total from Nelson.
Finally, the Brewers’ disciplined lineup bolsters the under forecast. Milwaukee strikes out just 7.83 times per game on average, which ranks fifth-lowest in all of MLB.
All these factors make Ryne Nelson’s under the best pick for today’s strikeout props.
Pick: Ryne Nelson Under 4.5 Ks (-115, Fanatics)