The New York Mets host the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 8, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Mets are favored by -142 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+115 or Better)
My Diamondbacks vs Mets best bet is on Arizona's moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -184 | 7.5 -118o / -104u | +120 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +152 | 7.5 -118o / -104u | -142 |
- Diamondbacks vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+152), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-184)
- Diamondbacks vs Mets over/under: 7.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Diamondbacks vs Mets moneyline: Diamondbacks +120, Mets -142
Diamondbacks vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
| Ryne Nelson (RHP) | Stat | David Peterson (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 0-1 |
| -0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 5.79 / 11.08 | ERA / xERA | 4.66 / 4.25 |
| 9.15 / 5.88 | FIP / xFIP | 2.74 / 3.99 |
| 1.18 | WHIP | 1.97 |
| 2.5% | K-BB% | 8.2% |
| 25.9% | GB% | 62.2% |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 85 |
| 90 | Location+ | 101 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects a decent edge on the Snakes in this matchup.
While the consensus line is around Arizona +120, we're projecting the Snakes ML at +107, representing a 2.3% edge against the market.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Picks
I think Ryne Nelson has been crazy unlucky through his first two starts.
He's allowed 11 baserunners but 11 earned runs, netting out to a 0% strand rate. Most of those runs have come off four home runs allowed behind an insane 25% HR/FB rate.
All of his numbers are bound to go down. Although he's walked a few too many batters, he's still sitting at around a 1.18 WHIP.
Of greater importance, his fastball velocity is up a tick this season (96.8 MPH), and he's still running a well-above-average Stuff+ mark (106).
That's the main edge in this matchup — Nelson is being way underpriced because of his brutal start, but it hasn't been that bad.
Hopefully, he bounces back on Wednesday in Queens. The weather should help, as the report calls for pitcher-friendly conditions, with temperatures in the low 40s.
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+115 or Better)
