Wednesday Sharp Report: Wiseguys Taking a Shot on Big Dogs
Baseball is arguably the best sport for sharp bettors. Unlike football and basketball, wiseguys don’t have to win 52.4% to turn a profit. By focusing on dogs (and avoiding big favorites), sharps can win 45% of the time but still make money because of the big plus-money payouts.
After analyzing Wednesday’s 12-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 2:10, 4:07, 6:05 and 7:07 p.m. ET.
All data as of 1:20 p.m. ET
Baltimore Orioles (+150) at Houston Astros
2:10 p.m. ET
The Orioles are 1-4, on the road and face the defending champs with Keuchel on the mound. Astros all day, right? Not so fast. Despite receiving 70% of bets, Houston has fallen from -205 to -170. This reverse line movement indicates sharp liability on Baltimore. Wiseguys at Pinnacle hit the O’s +173 and sharps at CRIS hammered O’s +164, causing the Baltimore line to plummet all the way down to +150. The Orioles are only getting 30% of bets but it accounts for 62% of dollars, another sign that smart money is taking a shot on the big road dog.