Astros vs. Twins Game 1 Sharp Betting Picks: Pros Hitting Moneyline, Total

Astros vs. Twins Game 1 Sharp Betting Picks: Pros Hitting Moneyline, Total article feature image
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Michael Zagaris/Oakland Athletics/Getty Images. Pictured: Houston Astros pitcher Zack Greinke.

Astros vs. Twins Game 1 Odds

Astros Odds +145 [Bet Now]
Twins Odds -170 [Bet Now]
Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-120) [Bet Now]
First Pitch 2 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Odds via PointsBet, where you can get $250 FREE instantly after signing up AND your bets automatically sync to the Action app. Learn more about BetSync here.


Not a single postseason pitch has been thrown, but sharps have already made moves on Tuesday’s first matchup between the Astros and Twins. Specifically, they’ve disagreed with both the opening moneyline and total, causing some fairly significant moves on both.

Let’s take a look using our new PRO Report feature.


Data as of 8:30 a.m. ET. For immediate access to our new MLB PRO Report for every Postseason game, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:

  • Pro Betting Systems: historically profitable betting trends and angles built on millions of data points.
  • Line Move Predictions: know when a line will move — before it happens.
  • Custom Fantasy Football Rankings from Sean Koerner (Top FantasyPros ranker)

Astros vs. Twins PRO Report (Moneyline)

As favorites often are, the Twins have been the popular side in this matchup. But given their movement from the -140s up to -170, it appears that sharps are among the 60% majority — and our tools confirm that.

[Try PRO for FREE to track all the sharp action hitting Tuesday’s MLB slate.]

Sharp Action

It’s the only indicator illuminated on our PRO Report as of now, but it’s been a strong one so far. Four Sports Insights Bet Signals in the form of steam moves have been triggered on the Twins since this line opened.

Steam refers to sudden, drastic movement in the market that comes from a heavy dose of money hitting the same side of a bet over a short period of time.

In this case, our signals caught the pros smashing Minnesota at -148, -150 (twice) and -162, sending us to the current listing.

Sharp Action edge: Twins


Astros vs. Twins PRO Report (Total)

It’s more of the same story on the total, plus the addition of one more indicator that also happens to be telling of professional action.

[Try PRO for FREE to track all the sharp action hitting Tuesday’s MLB slate.]

Sharp Action

While many sportsbooks didn’t open this total until after the initial wave of sharp action, some early ones released the number at 8 — which didn’t stand much of a chance.

In this case, five SI Bet Signals have been triggered on the under, and most have come even since the drop to 7.5, hence the consensus juice reaching -120.

Also telling of this move being a result of sharp action: the over is receiving 67% of the bets. In other words, there must be something about the 33% of bettors taking the under that’s causing oddsmakers to rethink this number.

Sharp Action edge: Under

Big Money

Part of what might be causing that rethinking is the 33% of bettors have generated 93% of early money hitting the total. Of course, that’s going to mean a monetary liability for sportsbooks. But perhaps more importantly, it reveals how big spenders are betting the total.

Why is that important? Well, it’s true that big bets can technically come from anyone, but over a large sample they’re far more likely to come from bettors who do this for a living (sharps). So when you see a large discrepancy between bets and money, such as this one, you can feel pretty confident that sharps are part of the reason why.

Big Money edge: Under

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