The Athletics host the Baltimore Orioles on June 7, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Find my MLB betting preview and Orioles vs Athletics prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Orioles vs Athletics Prediction
- Orioles vs Athletics picks: Athletics ML (+106) | Play to -105
My Orioles vs Athletics best bet is on the Athletics moneyline (+106). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Athletics Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 10.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 10.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
Orioles vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Charlie Morton (BAL) | Stat | RHP Luis Severino (ATH) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | W-L | 1-5 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 6.20/4.64 | ERA /xERA | 4.54/4.17 |
| 5.23/4.42 | FIP / xFIP | 3.41/4.26 |
| 1.58 | WHIP | 1.27 |
| 10.1 | K-BB% | 9.5 |
| 41.5 | GB% | 40.4 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 94 | Location+ | 98 |
Kenny Ducey’s Orioles vs Athletics Preview
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview: Morton Shows Signs of Improvement
To be fair to Charlie Morton, he shouldn't be in such an important role on a team with championship aspirations.
The 41-year-old was coming off a somewhat troubling 2024, in which he regressed once again in the strikeout department, leaving his middling expected numbers on contact exposed. Thus far, his 2025 has been an unmitigated disaster.
That doesn't mean the season is over, however. Since being tossed back into this weak Orioles rotation, he's shown some signs of life with a 1.42 ERA across 12 2/3 innings.
Those starts did come against the Cardinals and White Sox, but there were plenty of positives as he came home with a .235 Expected Batting Average and .361 Expected Slugging which represent a marked improvement over his season totals.
His barrel rate was also very low at 5.7%, and while he didn't make serious gains in the strikeout department, raising his clip a couple of percentage points, his walk rate was way down at 5.8% despite sitting at 11% for the season.
We're certainly going to need to see more from Morton, particularly against some better offenses, but the good news is he remains focused on fly balls, which puts the Athletics, who have mashed ground ballers, in a tougher spot.
Athletics Betting Preview: There's Also Hope for Severino
The Athletics may have fallen considerably from their early-season pace, but one thing that remains consistent over the last month or so is their offense.
This team owns the fourth-best wRC+ in baseball over the last 14 days, driven by a .272 average and a 9.7% walk rate, both near the top of the league. The bad news is their power has been sapped just a bit, and their strikeout rate is an egregious 28.1%.
There may be some hope in this matchup with Morton, however, and conversely, there should be some opportunity for Luis Severino — even against an offense that has picked things up a bit here.
Severino has completely abandoned strikeouts, aiming to get outs in the air. While that hasn't worked out for him in the aggregate, he's at least held a strong 4.8% barrel rate, just outside the top 10% of the league, and hasn't allowed a home run since his third start of the season, way back on April 7.
The veteran has also brought his walk rate down to 6.9%, which is more or less in line with his last few seasons, despite a rocky start to the year, when he issued 10 free passes in his first four turns through the rotation.
He's best suited for a matchup with a free-swinging team geared toward contact hitting, and this one on Saturday should be solid for him.
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Athletics' struggles with strikeouts shouldn't be present here against Morton, who has failed to miss bats. In the same vein, with more balls put into play, you have to like this red-hot Athletics offense just a little bit more.
Severino, too, should find success pitching to field outs against an Orioles team that has carried a very low strikeout rate and a low average to boot.
They are simply not impacting the baseball, posting a .143 Isolated Power in the last two weeks, and with Severino's ability to avoid home runs and his seemingly friendly profile on contact with the lack of well-struck balls, you'd have to like his chances here.
I'm the slightest bit worried that we won't see Denzel Clarke here, whose bat has heated up and whose glove will be crucial in center to a fly-baller like Severino, but we've been given no indication he'll sit after colliding with the wall on Friday.
On top of that, this offense is far deeper than a rookie who's only tagging along on the hit parade.
Pick: Athletics ML (+106)
Moneyline
According to our betting signals, the sharps are aligned on the Athletics here, despite the majority of the money and tickets coming in on Baltimore.
Run Line (Spread)
While Baltimore is just 8-25 to the run line as a favorite this season, the Athletics have covered just three times in their last seven and are 13-20 to the run line at home.
Over/Under
We've tracked some sharp money on the Under here, despite 79% of the bets and 76% of the money heading towards the Over. The Under is 8-2 in Baltimore's last 10 games.
