We have a shorter, 10-game slate on Monday, starting with Marlins vs. Phillies at 6:40 PM ET and finishing with Rays vs. Dodgers at 10:10 PM ET.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Monday, June 15.
Below are 5 expert MLB best bets today.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 8:05 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
  | 10:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sean Paul's Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under Prediction
By Sean Paul
I took a deep look at the side for this game. The Phillies are -207 ML favorites and are +100 on their -1.5 run line. I thought about the run line, but I don't fully trust Wheeler in this matchup.
Does he look good? Sure, but that BABIP terrifies me against a lineup that can BABIP-luck a pitcher out of a game.
I'm rolling with the over on 7.5 runs here. Gusto could be tagged for a decent amount of runs, and the Marlins offense is capable enough to score three or four runs to carry their weight.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-118)
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Rockies vs Cubs Top Prop Edge
By Action PRO
PRO projects Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong for 1.53 hits today against the Rockies, giving us a solid 10.7% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to mark the over with a B grade in our system.
He's hitting .392 in June, and in night games this season, his average is .298.
Crow-Arsmtrong will face Michael Lorenzen, who's sporting an awful 7.54 ERA, and a Colorado bullpen that ranks dead last with a 5.22 ERA.
He has surpassed this line in three of his past four contests, with two multi-hit games in the last series vs. the Giants and another one against these same Rockies at Coors Field.
At a great value, let's back him tonight to go over his hits line against Colorado.
Pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits (+188)
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Pirates vs Athletics Data-Driven System Pick
By Bet Labs
In Major League Baseball, road underdogs playing interleague (non-conference) games have historically been undervalued by oddsmakers, which is the case for the Pirates tonight against the Athletics.
Since 2016, despite winning only 43.3% of these games, these teams have generated a consistent positive ROI of 4.6%.
This trend has proven reliable across five consecutive seasons, indicating market inefficiencies in how these specific matchups are priced—likely due to lack of familiarity between leagues and public overconfidence in home and favorite teams.
In interleague play, road underdogs have proven profitable on the money line recently.
They have only a 43.3% win percentage, but those teams have turned a 4.6% ROI for bettors since 2016 and have been profitable in five consecutive seasons.
Pick: Pirates ML (+106)
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PRO's Angels vs Diamondbacks Top Projection
Our own Sean Zerillo projects an edge on the Diamondbacks moneyline for this matchup against the Angels.
While the consensus line sits at -130, Zerillo projects Arizona around -120 for this game, representing a 5.7% edge against the market, making them the best choice on the board with a B grade on our system.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-130)
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Jon Anderson's Rays vs Dodgers Best Bets
By Jon Anderson
We have some winds in LA tonight pushing out 10mph to center field.
And we have two pretty tough lineups going to work against crafty, but hittable pitchers. Nick Martinez's hot start to the season has fallen apart. He's given up 11 earned runs in his last three starts, with just a 14% K% on the season now. That's one of the lowest strikeout rates you'll find from a starting pitcher.
However, Martinez's ERA for the season still sits at a pristine 2.43, helped by a .281 BABIP and an 8% HR/FB, no doubt. But he's been able to generate soft contact with the changeup and do enough to mix up the fastballs to keep guys off balance.
Eric Lauer has been pushed into the Dodgers' rotation because of the injuries to Glasnow and Snell. And he's been okay there. He's given the Dodgers a 2.75 ERA in 16.1 innings, but, like Martinez, his K% is super low at 16%. He just throws a bunch of strikes and lets the defense behind him go to work.
What we have with Lauer is a big splits problem. Righties have hit 11 homers off of him this year with a 12% Brl% and a 15% K%. He has a tough, tough time against right-handed hitting.
That leads us to love the spot for Yandy Diaz. He's one of the top hitters in my matchups model tonight, which sees how hitters have performed in the last couple of seasons against pitches that are most like the ones they'll see tonight.
MATCHUPS MODEL TOP HITTERS
- Shohei Ohtani vs. Nick Martinez: .511 xwOBA
- Yandy Diaz vs. Eric Lauer: .462 xwOBA
- Kyle Tucker vs. Nick Martinez: .461 xwOBA
- Kyle Schwarber vs. Ryan Gusto: .440 xwOBA
- Freddie Freeman vs. Nick Martinez: .428 xwOBA
So that's four of the top five coming from this game. Both teams seem to match up pretty well, and the park and weather are favorable to hitters. You've gotta like the over nine runs in this one, given what we're seeing here.
Pick: Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 HRR (+130), Over 9 Runs (-110)
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