The Baltimore Orioles host the Boston Red Sox on August 27, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox have won the first two games of this series, including a 5-0 shutout yesterday. Brayan Bello will get the rock for Boston today and Dietrich Enns will oppose him for Baltimore.
Find my MLB betting preview and Red Sox vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction
- Red Sox vs Orioles pick: Under 9 (-110)
My Red Sox vs Orioles best bet is Under 9 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Orioles Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +103 | 9 -110o / -110u | -164 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -123 | 9 -110o / -110u | +130 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Brayan Bello (BOS) | Stat | LHP Dietrich Enns (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 3.07 / 4.25 | ERA / xERA | 4.97 / 3.57 |
| 4.21 / 4.27 | FIP / xFIP | 3.09 / 2.85 |
| 1.22 | WHIP | 1.52 |
| 10.0 | K-BB% | 18.8 |
| 49.1 | GB% | 43.0 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 111 |
| 103 | Location+ | 106 |
Red Sox vs Orioles Preview
The first two games of this series have hit the under, with scores of 4-3 and 5-0.
The Red Sox offense has cooled off a bit in August. They rank 12th overall in wRC+ for the season, but have fallen to 18th this month with a 98 rating.
Meanwhile, the Orioles are one of the worst run-producing lineups this month, with an 82 wRC+ that has them in the 27th spot.
They will have to go against Boston's Brayan Bello, who holds a 2.75 ERA in his last 15 starts and is coming off a stellar performance versus the Yankees, with seven scoreless innings and only three hits allowed.
This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the under today.
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity —ranging from 45 to 95— intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has also subtly corrected, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Pick: Under 9 (-110, Fanatics)
