The Chicago White Sox host the Boston Red Sox on July 8, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CHSN.
The Red Sox are favored by -105 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are -115 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction
- Red Sox vs White Sox Pick: Red Sox Moneyline (-102, FanDuel | Play to -110)
My Red Sox vs White Sox best bet is on Boston to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs White Sox Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +163 | 8 -116o / -106u | -105 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -116o / -106u | -115 |
- Red Sox vs White Sox moneyline: Red Sox -105, White Sox -115
- Red Sox vs White Sox over/under: 8 (-116o / -106u)
- Red Sox vs White Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+163), White Sox -1.5 (+155)
Red Sox vs White Sox Kalshi MLB Odds
Red Sox vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| Jake Bennett | Stat | Davis Martin |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 9-3 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.7 |
| 3.10 / 2.84 | ERA / xERA | 3.08 / 4.05 |
| 3.14 / 3.64 | FIP / xFIP | 3.09 / 3.68 |
| 15.3 | K-BB% | 15.4 |
| 52.2 | GB% | 43.5 |
| .261 | BABIP | .321 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 116 | Location+ | 95 |
Red Sox vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
As we broke down in Tuesday's edition of the Leadoff, the Red Sox have surged into the Wild Card conversation with a 9-2 run (following yesterday's win) and have a fairly soft schedule entering the All-Star break, which could determine management's approach to the trade deadline.
Boston ranks sixth in the AL in run differential and holds an X-W/L of 46-43. In a year where the majority of the AL has been highly mediocre, it's not entirely unrealistic to believe the team can push for a playoff berth.
Boston racked up 11 hits and nine runs in the series opener and continued what has been a strong stretch of play offensively. Over the last 15 games, the Red Sox hold a wRC+ of 106, rank fourth in BB/K ratio and own the sixth-lowest soft-contact rate in baseball.
Aside from a pair of poor showings versus the Rays, the first seven outings of Jake Bennett's MLB career have been excellent, and the well-touted lefty is a source of optimism for the organization moving forward. Across 40 2/3 innings, Bennett holds a 2.84 xERA to go alongside a 3.64 xFIP.
Bennett has limited hard contact effectively (35.6% hard-hit rate) and has generated ground balls 52.2% of the time. He allowed just 0.46 HR/9 this season in Triple-A, and his ability to limit long balls has remained a strength at the MLB level, as he's allowed just 0.66 HR/9.
Chicago White Sox Betting Preview
After an exceptional start to the season, Davis Martin's form has started to tail off a little of late, as he's pitched to a 4.30 ERA over his last 10 starts. He holds a 4.04 xFIP in those outings, as well as a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 11.4%.
He's never been a starter who blows batters out of the water with electric stuff, but his Stuff+ rating of 89 and Pitching+ rating of 81 in that span are concerning, and he has been hard-hit 42% of the time.
The White Sox lineup has hit left-handed pitching effectively this season, as it ranks ninth in wRC+ versus lefties and 10th in weighted on-base average. It has been much less effective against southpaws more recently, though, posting a wRC+ of 83 versus LHP since June 1 and striking out 25.5% of the time during that span.
Red Sox vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
While the White Sox still lead the AL Central with a 47-43 record and will have their top starter on the mound, it still feels as though they are overvalued as slight favorites in this matchup.
Though it does come with the asterisk of a fairly small sample size, Bennett has been dominant thus far this season, and it seems safe to say he holds more upside than Martin at this point. Chicago's lineup has not been in strong form of late, while the Red Sox have started to live up to preseason expectations.
At -102, there appears to be value in backing Bennett to lead the Red Sox to another important win.
Pick: Red Sox ML (-102, FanDuel | Play to -110)
