The Cincinnati Reds host the Baltimore Orioles on July 5, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCSN Extra.
The Orioles are favored by -110 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are -110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Reds Prediction
- Orioles vs Reds Pick: Orioles ML
My Orioles vs Reds best bet is on Baltimore to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Reds Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -175 | 9.5 -109o / -111u | -110 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +145 | 9.5 -109o / -111u | -110 |
- Orioles vs Reds moneyline: Orioles -110, Reds -110
- Orioles vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-109o / -111u)
- Orioles vs Reds spread: Orioles -1.5 (+145), Reds +1.5 (-175)
Orioles vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| RHP Kyle Bradish (BAL) | Stat | LHP Nick Lodolo (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.77 / 3.97 | ERA / xERA | 5.05 / 6.10 |
| 4.13 / 4.03 | FIP / xFIP | 5.30 / 4.90 |
| 12.2% | K-BB% | 8.7% |
| 47.6% | GB% | 41.9% |
| .314 | BABIP | .307 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 99 | Location+ | 90 |
Orioles vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles come into this matchup with a 41-48 record and are 17-25 on the road. Baltimore will be looking to bounce back behind Kyle Bradish, who is aiming for a better outing after giving up four runs (three earned) over four innings against the Nationals.
Bradish has shown he can be one of the Orioles' most reliable starters when he's in rhythm, and they'll need a strong performance from him to get back on track away from home.
The Cincinnati Reds, meanwhile, are 40-47 on the season and 19-23 at home. They'll hand the ball to Nick Lodolo, who is coming off one of his best starts of the year.
Last time out, Lodolo allowed just one hit over five scoreless innings against the Brewers. If he can carry that form into this matchup, the Reds will have a great chance to protect home-field advantage.
Orioles vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' Road Dogs Interleague Bet Lab System highlights a proven market inefficiency in non-conference matchups.
Due to a lack of league familiarity and public bias toward home favorites, road underdogs have historically been undervalued. Since 2016, backing these teams on the moneyline has generated a consistent 4.6% ROI across five consecutive seasons, proving profitable despite a modest 43.3% win rate.
Tonight’s Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds matchup perfectly activates this system. The Orioles travel to Great American Ball Park looking to bounce back behind Kyle Bradish. Conversely, the public will likely back the Reds after Nick Lodolo’s last brilliant scoreless performance.
With the market overpricing the home favorite, value sits entirely with the visitors. Trust the data and back the Orioles moneyline.
Pick: Orioles Moneyline
