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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds: Expert MLB Pick for the 4th of July

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds: Expert MLB Pick for the 4th of July article feature image
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Jul 3, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Mookie Betts (50) and second baseman Tommy Edman (25) celebrate a win against the San Diego Padres at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jon Endow-Imagn Images

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on July 4, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.

The Dodgers are -255 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +210 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Padres vs Dodgers Pick: Dodgers -1.5

My Padres vs Dodgers best bet is on Los Angeles. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Padres vs Dodgers Odds

Padres Logo
Saturday, Jul 4
10:10 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Dodgers Logo
Padres Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+102
8.5
-112o / -108u
+210
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-122
8.5
-112o / -108u
-255
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Padres vs Dodgers moneyline: Padres +210, Dodgers -255
  • Padres vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-112 / -108)
  • Padres vs Dodgers spread: Padres +1.5 (+102), Dodgers -1.5 (-122)

Padres vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers

Wandy Peralta (LHP, SDP)StatYoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP, LAD)
1-1W-L8-5
0.2fWAR (FanGraphs)2.3
2.38 / 4.14ERA / xERA2.67 / 3.54
3.97 / 4.51FIP / xFIP3.41 / 3.29
6.4%K-BB%19.0%
48.2%GB%48.6%
.289BABIP.228
100Stuff+103
106Location+108

Padres vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview

We have more than a few Action App experts on the Dodgers run line tonight.


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Padres vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis

I agree.

This is mostly a wager on Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who continues to pitch like one of the best in the sport. He'll offer a huge advantage over San Diego's pitching plan of Wandy Peralta opening for (I think) Griffin Canning.

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Projections for the 4th of July Image

Pick: Dodgers -1.5


Padres vs Dodgers Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
Author Profile
About the Author

Tanner McGrath covers college basketball, college football and Major League Baseball at Action Network. He is a contributor to Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s Major League Baseball betting podcast. He's been working in the space for more than five years with past journalism experience in Canadian collegiate sports, finance and economics. He has an obsession with America East basketball, betting the Miami Marlins and sweating out home underdogs.

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