The New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins on July 5, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Yankees are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Twins are +115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Twins vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Twins vs Yankees Prediction
- Twins vs Yankees Pick: Under 8.5
My Twins vs Yankees best bet is on game totals. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Yankees Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +151 | 8.5 -121o / +102u | +115 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -185 | 8.5 -121o / +102u | -136 |
- Twins vs Yankees moneyline: Twins +115, Yankees -136
- Twins vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-121o / +102u)
- Twins vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+151 ), Twins +1.5 (-185)
Twins vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| RHP Joe Ryan (MIN) | Stat | LHP Ryan Weathers (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | W-L | 3-6 |
| 2.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1-2 |
| 3.61 / 3.21 | ERA / xERA | 4.08 / 4.62 |
| 2.96 / 3.47 | FIP / xFIP | 4.13 / 3.39 |
| 22.7% | K-BB% | 19.9% |
| 37.2% | GB% | 42.1% |
| .292 | BABIP | .291 |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 108 | Location+ | 109 |
Twins vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
The Twins come into this matchup with a 43-47 record and are 21-24 on the road. Minnesota will look to bounce back behind Joe Ryan, who is coming off one of his toughest outings of the season after allowing a season-high six earned runs in just four innings.
On the other side, the Yankees, meanwhile, are 49-39 on the season and 23-19 at home. They’ve been strong in the Bronx and will try to keep that trend going in this series.
Ryan Weathers gets the start for New York after his shortest outing of the year, lasting just 1 2/3 innings in his last appearance. Before that, however, he had put together two straight quality starts, so the Yankees will be hoping he can quickly rediscover that form.
Twins vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
This system, called "Sunday Unders on Over Streak", targets Sunday MLB games where the home team is coming off 1-2 consecutive overs, suggesting recent offensive outperformance or inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays — often the final game of a series — teams may rest key hitters, lineups can be inconsistent, and pitchers often perform better against lineups they’ve already seen.
With an opening total in the 8 to 9.5 run range, the line is high enough to offer under value when offensive regression is likely. Betting the under in these specific setups has historically yielded a positive ROI over time.
Taking Unders with moderate totals (8 to 9.5) in Sunday games with home teams on an Over streak. Sunday games usually wrap up the series and played during the day, usually after a night game.
Hitters may tend to be worn out by the end of the week, and collectively as a league, players tend to take their rest days on Sundays, so there's an added advantage towards Unders.
Pick: Under 8.5
