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Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, Pick, Odds: 2 Expert Projections for Today’s MLB Game

Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, Pick, Odds: 2 Expert Projections for Today’s MLB Game article feature image
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Apr 29, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers center fielder Evan Carter (32) catches a fly ball hit by New York Yankees catcher J.C. Escarra (not pictured) during the seventh inning at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

The Texas Rangers host the Chicago Cubs on May 9, 2026. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.

The Cubs are favored by -138 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rangers are +118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Rangers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Cubs vs Rangers Prediction

  • Cubs vs Rangers Pick: Under 8.5 (Play to 8 -115)

Our Cubs vs Rangers best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Cubs vs Rangers Odds

Cubs Logo
Saturday, May 9
7:05 p.m. ET
MARQ
Rangers Logo
Cubs Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+125
8.5
-108o / -112u
-138
Rangers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-150
8.5
-108o / -112u
+118
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Cubs vs Rangers moneyline: Cubs -138, Rangers +118
  • Cubs vs Rangers over/under: 8.5 (-108o / -112u)
  • Cubs vs Rangers spread: Cubs -1.5 (+125), Rangers +1.5 (-150)

Cubs vs Rangers Probable Pitchers

Edward Cabrera (RHP, CHC)StatJack Leiter (RHP, TEX)
3-0W-L1-3
0.5fWAR (FanGraphs)0.4
3.27 / 4.20ERA / xERA5.45 / 4.87
4.00 / 3.81FIP / xFIP4.45 / 3.44
13.5%K-BB%18.3%
42.2%GB%41.0%
.298BABIP.323
95Stuff+105
105Location+99

Cubs vs Rangers MLB Betting Preview

Per Matt Trollo, Globe Life Park's 85 Park Run Factor is tied (Seattle) for lowest in the league via Statcast (rolling three years).

As a result, Unders have been money in Arlington over the past three seasons, cashing at a 63% rate and producing a 21% ROI.


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Cubs vs Rangers Pick, Betting Analysis

Meanwhile, the Under in this game is Sean Zerillo's largest projected edge on today's slate.

While the consensus line sits at 8.5, Zerillo projects this total at 7.4, representing a 5% edge against the market.

As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.

Pick: Under 8.5 (Play to 8 -115)


Cubs vs Rangers Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
Author Profile
About the Author

Tanner McGrath covers college basketball, college football and Major League Baseball at Action Network. He is a contributor to Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s Major League Baseball betting podcast. He's been working in the space for more than five years with past journalism experience in Canadian collegiate sports, finance and economics. He has an obsession with America East basketball, betting the Miami Marlins and sweating out home underdogs.

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