The Minnesota Twins host the Colorado Rockies on June 27, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Twins are favored by -138 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Twins Prediction
- Rockies vs Twins Pick: Over 9.5 (-100)
My Rockies vs Twins best bet is on the over total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Twins Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -188 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | +118 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | -138 |
- Rockies vs Twins moneyline: Rockies +118, Twins -138
- Rockies vs Twins over/under: 9.5 (-100o / -122u)
- Rockies vs Twins spread: Twins -1.5 (+155), Rockies +1.5 (-188)
Rockies vs Twins Probable Pitchers
| RHP Michael Lorenzen (COL) | Stat | RHP Mike Paredes (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-9 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 7.11/5.64 | ERA / xERA | 4.05/4.63 |
| 4.80/4.35 | FIP / xFIP | 4.96/5.38 |
| 10.7% | K-BB% | 2.3% |
| 44.8% | GB% | 37.1% |
| .388 | BABIP | .210 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 93 |
| 102 | Location+ | 96 |
Rockies vs Twins MLB Betting Preview, Picks
Played this one on Friday night with the bullpens coming through and I’m going back to the well on Saturday.
To begin with, Target Field is one of the higher run environments in the league, playing 6% above average on average with the forecast on Saturday suggesting we may even get an additional 1-2% bump before adding in a slightly hitter friendly umpire in Shane Livensparger that could get us to a near double digit boost before we even get to the participants.
Sure, Michael Lorenzen pitches in a terrible park with a .388 BABIP and 61.7 LOB% bearing some of the blame for his 7.11 ERA.
That said, he still doesn’t have an estimator better than 4.35 (xFIP) with LHBs owning a legit .403 xwOBA against him this year.
I’d expect him to face a balanced lineup that includes five LHBs from the Twins, but RHBs also have a .341 wOBA and .324 xwOBA against him.
Meanwhile, the Twins have been slugging the ball with their projected lineup owning a 117 wRC+ and .197 ISO against RHP this season plus a 133 wRC+ over the last 30 days. In the latter category, Brooks Lee (96) is the only projected Twin below 110.
Mike Paredes doesn’t have a single estimator within half a run of his 4.05 ERA through his first 20 major league innings, which includes a 2.3 K-BB% and 47.6 HardHit%. His 4.65 xERA would be even worse if he didn’t somehow finagle just 3.2% Barrels/BBE out of a 41.9 GB%. Don’t expect that to continue.
It’s a small sample, but even BARTOLO gives him a 4.96 wFIP with a 4.54 projection.
Then we have to realize, as the market may not have yet, that this Colorado offense may be legitimate for the first time in a long time.
Their season marks of a 98 wRC+ on the road and 96 wRC+ against RHP may not be there yet, but they’ve been churning the lineup, as they should, under Paul DePodesta’s new leadership with the current projected lineup averaging a 114 wRC+ against RHP and 119 wRC+ over the last month.
The Colorado defense may be neutral, but the Minnesota defense has been bottom five in the league on a team basis via Runs Prevented and OAA with the projected lineup sitting at -12 FRV.
It doesn’t seem like we need any more help, but the bullpens should give it to us anyway. Both relief units sit in the bottom quarter of the league in average estimators (FIP, xFIP, SIERA) over the last 30 days at 4.67 (Twins) and 4.75 (Rockies), while BARTOLO rates both as bottom five bullpens on the season.
I’m almost considering more than one unit on this total at just 9.5. You may wonder if they're playing at Coors before this one is done.
Picks: Over 9.5 (-100)
