We have a full 15-game slate on Wednesday, including Yankees vs Red Sox at 1:10 PM ET at Fenway Park, Royals vs White Sox at 4:10 PM ET at Rate Field, Diamondbacks vs Rays at 6:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field, and Rockies vs Twins at 7:10 PM ET at Target Field.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Saturday, June 27.
Below are 4 expert MLB best bets today.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each matchup our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:10 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
  | 6:10 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Ryan Minion's Yankees vs Red Sox Best Bet
By Ryan Minion
25-year-old left-hander Jake Bennett will take the mound for Boston, while the Yankees will trot out righty veteran Gerrit Cole in what sets up to be a phenomenal pitching matchup on Saturday afternoon.
The Sox lefty is having a stellar rookie campaign, pitching in the Major Leagues thus far, with Bennett having recorded a 3.71 ERA on the season across nearly 27 frames on the bump.
Boston’s rookie has been unbelievably efficient as well, with the Sox youngster having recorded an exceptional 1.13 WHIP across his first five outings to kick off the 2026 season.
While Bennett’s form on the mound has been relatively inconsistent, the Red Sox left-hander is fresh off an exceptional outing on Monday afternoon versus the Rockies, entering this contest fresh off an absolute gem of a start on the bump.
Despite pitching at the most hitter-friendly ballpark in all of baseball, Colorado’s Coors Field, where the significantly lower air density plays into hitters' advantage, Bennett dealt six scoreless frames whilst fanning nine hitters (Ks).
Like Bennett, the Yankees’ Gerrit Cole enters Saturday afternoon’s divisional showdown in some rather promising form as well.
Following his return to action from the 15-day IL after having suffered a major elbow injury that required him to undergo Tommy John Surgery, New York’s right-hander has recorded a quality start (QS) in three of his first six appearances to kick off his 2026 campaign.
Given the elite form of both starting pitchers heading into Saturday’s contest, I favor backing for there to be no runs scored in the first inning (NRFI),
Pick: NRFI (-150 or Better)
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Tanner McGrath's Royals vs White Sox Best Bet
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system targets overs in games that begin in the late afternoon to early evening, which bettors often refer to as "twilight spots."
These games exist in a temperature and lighting window that subtly elevates scoring conditions, particularly when both teams have a documented tendency to hit Overs.
Combined with home starters who may have below-average WHIPs, this setup identifies an edge before the public fully reacts.
By isolating recent season trends and capitalizing on the transitional scoring environment, the model captures a high-expectation scoring spot that may be underpriced due to time-of-day bias or modest pitching projections.
Regarding the matchup, the White Sox just keep hitting. I adore this lineup, even without Munetaka Murakami. And I'm always down to fade Michael Wacha, who overperforms thanks to his changeup command but still lacks any real stuff.
While the Royals have been lackluster in the batter's box this season, they have plenty of star power in the lineup.
Additionally, these are two bad defensive teams and two bottom-10 bullpens.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110 or Better)
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Derek Carty's Diamondbacks vs Rays Pick
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.13 home runs for Gurriel. Oddsmakers are implying 0.10 home runs, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 11% of the time, resulting in a 26% ROI with an expected value of $25.84 (based on a $100 wager).
This play is good down to at least +862.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Lourdes Gurriel Home Run (+862 or Better)
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Matt Trollo's Rockies vs Twins Pick
By Matt Trollo
Played this one on Friday night with the bullpens coming through, and I’m going back to the well on Saturday.
To begin with, Target Field is one of the higher run environments in the league, playing 6% above average on average, with the forecast on Saturday suggesting we may even get an additional 1-2% bump before adding in a slightly hitter-friendly umpire in Shane Livensparger that could get us to a near double-digit boost before we even get to the participants.
Sure, Michael Lorenzen pitches in a terrible park with a .388 BABIP and 61.7 LOB%, bearing some of the blame for his 7.11 ERA.
That said, he still doesn’t have an estimator better than 4.35 (xFIP) with LHBs owning a legit .403 xwOBA against him this year.
I’d expect him to face a balanced lineup that includes five LHBs from the Twins, but RHBs also have a .341 wOBA and .324 xwOBA against him.
Meanwhile, the Twins have been slugging the ball with their projected lineup, owning a 117 wRC+ and .197 ISO against RHP this season, plus a 133 wRC+ over the last 30 days. In the latter category, Brooks Lee (96) is the only projected Twin below 110.
Mike Paredes doesn’t have a single estimator within half a run of his 4.05 ERA through his first 20 major league innings, which includes a 2.3 K-BB% and 47.6 HardHit%. His 4.65 xERA would be even worse if he didn’t somehow finagle just 3.2% Barrels/BBE out of a 41.9 GB%. Don’t expect that to continue.
It’s a small sample, but even BARTOLO gives him a 4.96 wFIP with a 4.54 projection.
Then we have to realize, as the market may not have yet, that this Colorado offense may be legitimate for the first time in a long time.
Their season marks of a 98 wRC+ on the road and 96 wRC+ against RHP may not be there yet, but they’ve been churning the lineup, as they should, under Paul DePodesta’s new leadership, with the current projected lineup averaging a 114 wRC+ against RHP and 119 wRC+ over the last month.
The Colorado defense may be neutral, but the Minnesota defense has been bottom-five in the league on a team basis in Runs Prevented and OAA, with the projected lineup sitting at -12 FRV.
It doesn’t seem like we need any more help, but the bullpens should give it to us anyway. Both relief units sit in the bottom quarter of the league in average estimators (FIP, xFIP, SIERA) over the last 30 days at 4.67 (Twins) and 4.75 (Rockies), while BARTOLO rates both as bottom-five bullpens on the season.
I’m almost considering more than one unit on this total at just 9.5. You may wonder if they're playing at Coors before this one is done.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-110 or Better)
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