The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Colorado Rockies on May 12, 2026. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Pirates are favored by -335 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +270 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction
- Rockies vs Pirates Pick: Under 7.5 (-105 or Better)
My Rockies vs Pirates best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Pirates Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +122 | 7.5 -112o / -108u | +270 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -146 | 7.5 -112o / -108u | -335 |
- Rockies vs Pirates moneyline: Rockies +270, Pirates -335
- Rockies vs Pirates over/under: 7.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Rockies vs Pirates spread: Pirates -1.5 (-146), Rockies +1.5 (+122)
Rockies vs Pirates Probable Pitchers
| Michael Lorenzen (RHP, COL) | Stat | Paul Skenes (RHP, PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | W-L | 5-2 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 6.92 / 5.79 | ERA / xERA | 2.36 / 1.96 |
| 5.27 / 4.49 | FIP / xFIP | 2.81 / 3.01 |
| 7.4% | K-BB% | 24.5% |
| 47.0% | GB% | 44.1% |
| .387 | BABIP | .190 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 100 | Location+ | 114 |
Rockies vs Pirates MLB Betting Preview
There may be some value on the Under in this game.
Zerillo projects the total at 7.19 runs, while the consensus total is 7.5.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Rockies vs Pirates Pick, Betting Analysis
Unfortunately, this line may have moved out of range. Zerillo says we should bet the Under 7.5 at -105 or better, if you can find it.
However, if you can find it, it's worth a wager.
Paul Skenes is pitching at his normal level this season, mowing down hitters left and right.
However, Michael Lorenzen may be slightly undervalued. He's been super unlucky with BABIP (.387) and strand (62.5%) variance, and that's reflected in his earned run indicators (6.92 ERA, 4.49 xFIP).
Also, the weather shouldn't be too hitter-friendly in Pittsburgh today, with temperatures in the mid-50s toward the later innings. That should help two struggling bullpens.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105 or Better)
