The Cleveland Guardians host the Detroit Tigers on June 14, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on DSN.
The Tigers are -105 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are -114 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Tigers vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction
- Tigers vs Guardians Pick: Tigers Moneyline (-105)
Our Tigers vs Guardians best bet is on Detroit to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Guardians Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +163 | 7.5 103o / -125u | -105 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -199 | 7.5 103o / -125u | -114 |
- Tigers vs Guardians moneyline: Tigers -105, Guardians -114
- Tigers vs Guardians over/under: 7.5 (+103o / -125u)
- Tigers vs Guardians spread: Tigers -1.5 (+163), Guardians +1.5 (-199)
Tigers vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
| RHP Casey Mize (DET) | Stat | RHP Gavin Williams (CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 9-3 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.4 |
| 2.27/2.66 | ERA / xERA | 3.32/4.56 |
| 2.41/3.71 | FIP / xFIP | 3.81/3.16 |
| 20.0% | K-BB% | 20.6% |
| 35.2% | GB% | 46.5% |
| .264 | BABIP | .266 |
| 89 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 105 | Location+ | 103 |
Tigers vs Guardians MLB Betting Preview
An American League Central clash concludes this Sunday afternoon as the division-leading Cleveland Guardians look to secure a three-game series sweep against the visiting Detroit Tigers.
Cleveland took the first two games of the weekend set in tight, low-scoring fashions, grinding out a 3-2 victory in the opener followed by a 3-1 win yesterday.
Saturday's contest was defined by a major injury that could reshape the division landscape. While Cleveland's Daniel Schneemann spoiled the return of Detroit ace Tarik Skubal by launching a crucial two-run home run, the win came at an incredibly steep price for the host team.
Star third baseman Jose Ramírez suffered a fractured hamate bone in his left hand on a fifth-inning swing. The heart and soul of the Guardians lineup is now sidelined indefinitely, leaving a massive void for a squad that currently sits at 39-33 overall and 19-17 at home.
The fourth-place Tigers, sitting at 29-42, will look to salvage the finale and improve upon their sluggish 11-26 road record.
Detroit's offense will be relying heavily on Dillon Dingler, who has provided plenty of pop this season with 31 extra-base hits, including 16 home runs.
Additionally, outfielder Kerry Carpenter enters Sunday swinging a hot bat, hitting 9-for-31 with three long balls and nine RBIs over his last 10 games.
They will face Cleveland right-hander Gavin Williams, who boasts a strong 9-3 record with a 3.32 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 99 strikeouts. Williams has been stellar lately, winning four of his last five decisions.
Detroit counters with Casey Mize, who makes his return to the mound after a minimal stint on the injured list due to a right thigh strain.
Mize, who hasn't pitched in the majors since May 27, completed a single rehab outing and should bolster a Detroit team desperate to reverse its 7-14 record in one-run games.
Tigers vs Guardians Pick, Betting Analysis
Cleveland holds a dominant 6-0 advantage in the season series, but Sunday presents a vastly different matchup with the Guardians missing their franchise player. The betting value sits entirely with the road underdog.
This prediction is heavily backed by the "Low Support Division Dog" system from betting expert Evan Abrams. This specific system targets divisional underdogs in regular-season MLB games that receive minimal backing from the public but show clear indicators of sharp money or line value.
In this spot, the Tigers are pulling in less than 30% of the moneyline bet tickets from the public. Normally, an underdog with such little public faith would see their odds drift higher.
Instead, the line has held firm or moved slightly in Detroit's direction, opening around pick'em territory. This lack of negative line movement strongly signals that the smart, sharp money is backing the underdog.
Furthermore, the Abrams system emphasizes that division games naturally breed tighter matchups due to sheer familiarity, which helps narrow the talent gap between a favorite and an underdog.
The total bet count for this game is also modestly above average, proving that this is a spot where sharp bettors are actively targeting value rather than a case of mass public overreaction.
When you factor in the devastating loss of Jose Ramírez from the middle of the Cleveland order, the Guardians are uniquely vulnerable to a letdown performance after wrapping up the series victory.
Expect a energized Casey Mize to pitch effectively in his return, allowing the Tigers to avoid the sweep and cash as sharp divisional underdogs.
Pick: Tigers Moneyline (-105)
