The Toronto Blue Jays host the Kansas City Royals on August 3, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 1:37 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
After splitting the first two games, the Royals and Blue Jays will close this series today, with Toronto as a -148 favorite.
Find my MLB betting preview and Royals vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Royals vs Blue Jays pick: Under 8 (-107)
My Royals vs Blue Jays best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Blue Jays Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 8 -113o / -107u | +122 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +149 | 8 -113o / -107u | -148 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Seth Lugo (KC) | Stat | RHP Chris Bassitt (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-5 | W-L | 11-5 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 3.03 / 4.86 | ERA / xERA | 4.24 / 4.03 |
| 4.47 / 4.15 | FIP / xFIP | 4.01 / 3.62 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 1.34 |
| 14.0 | K-BB% | 17.1 |
| 39.4 | GB% | 46.1 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 96 | Location+ | 104 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Preview
We have a pitching duel between the Royals' Seth Lugo and the Blue Jays' Chris Bassitt, both veteran pitchers having a strong season.
Lugo has a 2.74 ERA across his last 15 outings, and the potent Jays offense has only scored four runs or fewer in each game this series so far.
Bassitt is in a great bounce-back spot after a rough outing against the Orioles.
He holds an excellent 2.65 ERA at home compared to his 6.45 ERA on the road, so this game at Rogers Centre against a Royals offense that ranks 27th in MLB in wRC+ should put him back on track.
Our Bet Labs recommendation for this game is to go with the under.
The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close.
These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under —likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors.
By following this soft signal —when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals— this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
Pick: Under 8 (-107, DraftKings)
