The Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45) and Cincinnati Reds (56-51) square off on Tuesday, July 29. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FanDuel Sports Ohio and SportsNet LA.
Los Angeles is a -150 moneyline favorite while Cincinnati is +125 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 (-115o / -105u).
Continue below for my Dodgers vs Reds predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, weather forecast and more.
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Moneyline Pick
- Dodgers vs Reds pick: Dodgers Moneyline (-155)
My Reds vs. Dodgers best bet is on Los Angeles moneyline, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Reds Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +100 | 9 -115o / -105u | -150 |
| Cincinnati Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 9 -115o / -105u | +125 |
Dodgers vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | Stat | LHP Nick Lodolo (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 8-6 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.1 |
| 2.75 / 3.51 | ERA / xERA | 3.08 / 3.71 |
| 3.75 / 3.27 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79 / 3.79 |
| 1.03 | WHIP | 1.04 |
| 20.7% | K-BB% | 17.8% |
| 42.7% | GB% | 42.8% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 94 | Location+ | 100 |
Dodgers vs Reds Preview, Prediction
Dodgers Betting Preview
Tyler Glasnow has been nearly flawless since recovering from a shoulder injury that sidelined him for a few months, posting a 1.00 ERA and 0.78 WHIP across three starts.
His underlying metrics are equally impressive, as the right-hander ranks in the 68th percentile among qualified pitchers in expected ERA (xERA), 83rd percentile in expected batting average (xBA) allowed, 93rd percentile in strikeout rate, and 80th percentile in hard-hit rate allowed.
That success is likely to continue against Cincinnati, a team he owns a 2.77 ERA and 0.85 WHIP against over the past seven head-to-head meetings.
Following Glasnow is a bullpen that has started to find its form.
Entering this matchup, the Dodgers’ relief corps ranks in the top-half of the league in fielding independent pitching (FIP), expected FIP (xFIP) and wins above replacement (WAR).
This pitching staff is also likely to receive an abundance of run support.
This season, the Dodgers rank in the top three in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Reds Betting Preview
Los Angeles’s dominance at the plate is likely to continue against Nick Lodolo.
Although it is a small sample size, this current Dodgers roster boasts a .350 xBA and .358 xwOBA through 13 combined head-to-head plate appearances against Lodolo.
Lodolo hasn't been bad this year, but Glasnow has been better. The latter outranks Lodolo in ERA, xERA, FIP and xFIP.
Furthermore, the Reds’ bullpen trails Los Angeles’ in FIP, xFIP and WAR.
Not only do the Dodgers hold the pitching advantage, but they also own the hitting edge.
Cincinnati trails Los Angeles in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage and OPS.
Dodgers vs Reds Betting Predictions
Every edge in this game belongs to Los Angeles.
The Dodgers have the stronger starting pitcher, bullpen and lineup.
The only reason for Los Angeles’s relatively short price is that the Reds are playing on their home diamond.
While that does provide an advantage against a Dodgers team that has struggled on the road, it does not offset the magnitude of the aforementioned talent gaps.
Dodgers vs Reds Pick: Dodgers ML (-155)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm betting on the Dodgers moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like Los Angeles to cover, but I find more value in just taking the outright moneyline price.
Over/Under
I lean toward the over, but I don't want to fade Glasnow.
