The New York Mets host the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday, July 2, 2025, in Game 2 of their doubleheader. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI and MLB.TV.
This matchup will see highly-touted righty Jacob Misiorowski of the Brewers make his fourth career start against Blade Tidwell of the Mets.
Misiorowski has lived up to the hype so far, earning a record of 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA across his first 3 starts.
Find my Brewers vs Mets prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Picks
- Brewers vs. Mets Pick: Brewers ML (-115 · Play to -125)
My Mets vs. Brewers best bet is on Milwaukee to win the game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Mets Odds, Spread, Lines
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
Brewers vs Mets Projected Pitchers
| RHP Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) | Stat | RHP Blade Tidwell (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | W-L | 0-1 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 1.13/2.09 | ERA /xERA | 10.13/5.87 |
| 2.84/3.22 | FIP / xFIP | 6.74/6.50 |
| 0.63 | WHIP | 2.44 |
| 21.4% | K-BB% | -1.7% |
| 43.3% | GB% | 39.0% |
| 128 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 97 | Location+ | 92 |
Brewers vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Misiorowski has shot up 43 spots in the MLB pipeline top 100 rankings to No. 21 after three dominant performances to start his big-league career.
While that does seem to be a significant adjustment, there aren't many prospects above Misiorowski on the list that the Brewers' front office or fan base would likely deal Misiorowski one-for-one right now.
Misiorowski earned a call-up to the majors after posting a 2.13 ERA and K/9 of 11.37 in 63 1/3 innings of work in Triple-A this season.
https://x.com/pitchingninja/status/1936240264798228537?s=51&t=jnkCQzfXiGyXqCWVEtGobg
Misiorowski's nasty stuff is drawing some natural comparisons to Paul Skenes. While that may be a stretch right now, he's allowed an xERA of 2.09 in his first three outings and struck out 10.69 batters per nine.
He holds a Stuff+ rating of 128 and a Pitching+ rating of 127. At 6'7′, Misiorowski gets great extension towards home plate, making his 100 mph four-seamer play up a little.
Given that this matchup will be the second leg of a double-header, it will be important to keep an eye on which relievers are used in the first matchup.
Milwaukee's bullpen enters the double-header in fairly good shape and has posted an ERA of 3.31 over the last month.
The Brewers will start out in their lesser split versus Tidwell, as they hold a wRC+ of 94 this season versus RHP. They have been in good form offensively over the last 30 days, however, with a fifth-ranked wRC+ of 111.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Tidwell was recalled from Triple-A Syracuse last Friday to take over Griffin Canning's spot in the rotation, who tore his Achilles tendon and is out for the rest of the season.
Tidwell worked in long relief on Friday versus the Pittsburgh Pirates, but will be used as a traditional starter in this matchup, entering off four days' rest.
In 62 1/3 innings of work in Triple-A this season, Tidwell has pitched to an ERA of 4.76 and an xFIP of 4.31. He has struggled mightily in a tiny sample of 10 and 2/3 innings of work in MLB, pitching to an ERA of 10.13 and an xFIP of 6.50.
Tidwell's stuff does suggest he is capable of achieving at least league-average results, as he holds a Stuff+ rating of 108 and a Pitching+ rating of 102.
New York's offense ranks ninth in wRC+ over the last 30 days and ranks first in hard-hit rate in that span. It ranks fifth in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching this season, and seventh in hard-hit rate.
Brewers vs Mets Pick, Best Bets
Tidwell is certainly capable of achieving much better results than we have seen so far at the MLB level, but it's still hard to see how the Brewers are only slight favorites in this matchup.
Misiorowski has allowed just three hits in his first three starts, and it's not hard to see why watching his outings.
Things will get a little tougher for Misiorowski as the league gains familiarity, but even still, batters will never have a great chance versus his elite stuff.
The Mets certainly have the more talented lineup, but the Brewers' offense has also been in better form recently and should have a good chance to spot Misiorowski some runs early on off of Tidwell.
At -115, there looks to be value riding with the Brewers on Wednesday, with their rookie sensation on the mound.
Pick: Brewers ML (-115 · Play to -125)
