The Los Angeles Angels host the Minnesota Twins on September 8, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MNNT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Twins vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Twins vs Angels Prediction
- Twins vs Angels pick: Over 9.5 (-110)
My Twins vs Angels best bet is on the over total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Twins vs Angels Odds
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | +100 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -120 |
Twins vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | Stat | RHP Caden Dana (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 4.53/4.36 | ERA /xERA | 4.91/4.04 |
| 5.13/5.17 | FIP / xFIP | 5.60/5.04 |
| 1.40 | WHIP | 1.36 |
| 9.8% | K-BB% | 8.5% |
| 30.7% | GB% | 37.9% |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 86 |
| 96 | Location+ | 91 |
Sean Zerillo’s Twins vs Angels Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Twins and Angels are set to face off tonight in Anaheim, with temperatures around 81 and seven-mile-per-hour winds blowing straight out of the park. That gives the hitters a slight edge—a roughly 3% offensive boost on the weather alone—pushing the projected total closer to 9.5, landing around 9.7. Despite some offensive struggles recently, I still like what the Angels bring to the plate.
Looking deeper, Mike Trout has been struggling of late, but the Twins’ offense actually projects as the stronger unit in my model. Last year, both teams ranked near the bottom, 24th and 26th respectively, in overall offensive output. This season, however, the Twins have a projected 109 WRC+ against right-handed pitching, while the Angels sit at 98.
In other words, the Angels are performing roughly as expected, while the Twins have underperformed relative to their underlying offensive quality.
Neither starting pitcher inspires much confidence. Both are essentially back-end starters—number fours or fives. The pitching models dislike both, with expected FIP numbers around 4.4.
Woods Richardson projects between 4.6 and 4.9, with a body ERA of 5.1, career worsts in his profile. His Stuff+ metric is also historically low. Caden Dana projects even worse, with FIP between 4.9 and 5.3, and nothing over 96 in Stuff+. In short, both pitchers lack dominant pitches, command, and upside.
To make matters worse, the bullpens aren’t much better. Over the last 30 days, the Twins rank 26th and 30th in expected FIP, and the Angels 21st and 29th.
Defensively, these teams are among the worst in MLB: Twins rank 28th in Defensive Runs Saved and 21st in Outs Above Average, while the Angels sit at 29th and 30th. So even if the offenses are somewhat underwhelming, the poor pitching and defense on both sides should allow plenty of opportunities for runs.
With all that in mind, the total seems like a solid target. I’d go with the Over.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-120)
Twins vs Angels Betting Trends
