MLB Best Bets, Props, Picks for Sunday, August 10

MLB Best Bets, Props, Picks for Sunday, August 10 article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Bill Streicher-Imagn Images. Pictured: Zack Wheeler

All 30 MLB teams are in action, with 15 games scheduled for Sunday, August 10. Our MLB betting experts have scoured the odds board and made some MLB picks and predictions for today's games.

They've targeted two moneyline bets, a pitcher's hits over, another outs over, and a total pick.

So, continue reading as today's MLB best bets are below.

Quickslip

MLB Best Bets Today

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Kansas City Royals LogoMinnesota Twins Logo
1:05 p.m.
Miami Marlins LogoAtlanta Braves Logo
1:35 p.m
Philadelphia Phillies LogoTexas Rangers Logo
2:35 p.m.
Toronto Blue Jays LogoLos Angeles Dodgers Logo
4:10 p.m.
Chicago Cubs LogoSt. Louis Cardinals Logo
7:10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Brit Devine's Royals vs Twins Best Bet: KC Better Overall

Kansas City Royals Logo
Sunday, August 10
1:05 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Minnesota Twins Logo
Kansas City Royals ML
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

By Brit Devine

Despite letting go of a large portion of their roster at the deadline, the Twins are 4-2 in their last six games. They decimated the lineup and the bullpen, and should be one of the worst teams as we wind down the season.

Today, they start Jose Urena, who is on his fourth team this season and has almost no ability to strike out batters.

The Royals should be able to put plenty of balls in play today against Urena and a bullpen that sent away every good arm at the deadline.

Kansas City will start Ryan Bergert, whom they acquired from the Padres. He has quietly had a decent 2025 season with some good starts against the Mets, Dodgers and Phillies.

The Royals have the better starting pitcher, better lineup, and better bullpen here, and should be bigger than -120 favorites to me. Play this to -135.

Pick: Kansas City Royals ML



Charlie Wright's Marlins vs Braves Best Bet: Wentz Will Go Long Today

Miami Marlins Logo
Sunday, August 10
1:35 p.m ET
MLB.TV
Atlanta Braves Logo
Joey Wentz Over 15.5 Outs
Fanatics Sportsbook Logo

By Charlie Wright

Please spam the cutter today, Joey. Atlanta has turned Wentz's season around by having him lean on his best pitch. He's posted a 3.09 ERA with ERA estimators in the mid-3.00s across five appearances with his new squad.

Wentz has actually had three scoreless outings, but he's allowed eight earned runs in the other two appearances. Notably, he threw more 4-seamers than cutters in the two bad starts. He went much heavier on the cutter in the three good outings.

We backed Miami's offense yesterday against Erick Fedde. They've crushed righties lately and produced another solid game. Lefties, on the other hand, have been an issue. The Marlins are in the bottom five in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ vs. LHP since the start of June.

The situation also sets up well for an extended workload. While Wentz has worked out of the bullpen at times this season, he's fully stretched out now, tossing 95+ pitches in back-to-back starts.

Atlanta played a doubleheader yesterday that saw every reliever make an appearance. This is the Braves' eighth game of the week, which is pretty rare. They could use some length here.

Miami sees the third-fewest pitches per plate appearance, which should help Wentz be efficient.

Pick: Joey Wentz Over 15.5 Outs



Brit Devine's Phillies vs Rangers Best Bet: Back Philly All the Way

Philadelphia Phillies Logo
Sunday, August 10
2:35 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Texas Rangers Logo
Philadelphia Phillies ML
FanDuel Logo

By Brit Devine

This line looks like a gift to me. Zach Wheeler takes the mound for Philadelphia, and with him in the midst of another great season, getting these odds even against an improved Patrick Corbin seems like a mistake.

Once Wheeler exits after 6+ innings of solid pitching, we have one of the best bullpens in the league over the past 30 days and even better in the shorter term.

There are no easy at-bats today for a Rangers lineup that has been one of the weakest in the league over the past 30 days, with several big names underperforming all season and no hope in sight of improving.

With big advantages in starting pitching, lineup and bullpen, I would play this to -170 as I can't see the Rangers offense doing much damage in this one.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies ML



Derek Carty's Blue Jays vs Dodgers: Fade Glasnow Here

Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Sunday, August 10
4:10 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Tyler Glasnow Over 4.5 Hits Allowed
bet365 Logo

By Derek Carty

There may be some value in Glasnow's hits allowed prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 5.50 hits allowed, and oddsmakers are implying 4.73.

The model believes there is a 62% chance he records at least five hits allowed, so there is value on the over at +115.

Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!

Pick: Tyler Glasnow Over 4.5 Hits Allowed



Bet Labs' Cubs vs Cardinals Best Bet: Weather Angle for the Under

Chicago Cubs Logo
Sunday, August 10
7:10 p.m. ET
ESPN
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
Under 8
Fanatics Sportsbook Logo

By Bet Labs

This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting. It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity —ranging from 45 to 95— intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.

Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.

In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.

The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest, between 6 and 29. These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Public Fades Humidity = Unders
the average humidity is between 45% and 95%
the home team's 5 Game over percentage is between 0% and 40%
the temperature is between 54 and 97 degrees
the wind direction is From Right or Left To Right or From Left or Right To Left or In or None
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the over/under % is between 6% and 29%
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 season
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
$7,961
WON
295-195-19
RECORD
60%
WIN%

Pick: Under 8



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