With two doubleheaders today, the Thursday slate grew to 11 baseball games, and gives us plenty of options to offer you some bangers on the last day of this month.
Read on for my Home Run Picks Today for Thursday, April 30.
Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of our MLB staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 12:35 ET | |
| 12:35 ET | |
| 12:40 ET | |
| 3:05 ET | |
| 3:05 ET | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Editor's Note: A home run parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These home run picks have value as straight bets.
Astros vs Orioles Home Run Pick
Gunnar Henderson
Home Run
Gunnar Henderson has been great to start the season, and these odds are way too high given the spot.
The weather should be below average for hitting, but this ballpark is one of the best in the league for lefty power, and the Astros' Peter Lambert is an above-average matchup for lefties like the Orioles shortstop.
I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Gunnar Henderson Home Run (+470)
Astros vs Orioles Player Prop
Yordan Alvarez
Home Run
These odds are far too high. Yordan Alvarez is one of the best home run hitters in the league, and Baltimore SP Chris Bassitt is a gas can for lefty power.
I have the true odds for the Astros DH under +300.
Pick: Yordan Alvarez Home Run (+320)
Rockies vs. Reds Home Run Prop
Hunter Goodman
Home Run
This spot is a great one for Hunter Goodman, and these odds are too high.
The Reds' Andrew Abbott is an above-average matchup for righty power, and this ballpark is one of the best in the league for power.
I have the true odds for the Rockies DH around +300, making this an excellent bet.
Pick: Hunter Goodman Home Run (+360)
Royals vs. Athletics Top HR Pick
Salvador Perez
Home Run
The Royals' Salvador Perez gets a great matchup, and these odds are too high.
This ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the matchup vs. the lefty Jeffrey Springs is a great one for righty power.
I have the true odds here around +325.
Pick: Salvador Perez Home Run (+387)
Royals vs. Athletics Home Run Pick
Nick Kurtz
Home Run
These odds are a bit too high for A's first baseman Nick Kurtz.
The matchup is lefty/lefty, but Noah Cameron grades out as a splits-neutral pitcher.
I have the true odds around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Nick Kurtz Home Run (+350)
