HomeRight ArrowMLB

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Cubs vs Orioles, Rockies vs Dodgers, More for Tuesday, July 7

MLB Home Run Picks Today: Player Props for Cubs vs Orioles, Rockies vs Dodgers, More for Tuesday, July 7 article feature image
5 min read
Credit:

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images. Pictured: Dodgers 1B Freddie Freeman

We have 16 games on Tuesday, courtesy of a Brewers vs. Cardinals doubleheader with the first game starting the slate early at 2:15 p.m. ET and finishing with Rockies vs. Dodgers at 10:10 p.m. ET.

As always, I've got some bangers for you, selecting players from five of those matchups.

Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.


MLB Home Run Picks Today

In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top Home Run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.

GameTime (ET)Pick
Chicago Cubs LogoBaltimore Orioles Logo
6:35 PM
Oakland Athletics LogoDetroit Tigers Logo
6:40 PM
Houston Astros LogoWashington Nationals Logo
6:45 PM
Boston Red Sox LogoChicago White Sox Logo
7:40 PM
Colorado Rockies LogoLos Angeles Dodgers Logo
10:10 PM
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction, Pick

Chicago Cubs Logo
Tuesday, Jul 7
6:35 PM ET
MLB.TV
Baltimore Orioles Logo
Pete Alonso Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Cubs starter Matthew Boyd has been great at suppressing lefty power this season, but he's been a plus matchup for righty power (1.46 HR/9).

This ballpark isn't great for righty power, but Pete Alonso is one of the best homer hitters in the league.

I have the true odds here for the Orioles 1B at around +330, making this a great bet.

Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run



Athletics vs Tigers Prediction, Pick

Oakland Athletics Logo
Tuesday, Jul 7
6:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Detroit Tigers Logo
Kevin McGonigle Home Run
FanDuel Logo

Kevin McGonigle has been much better this season than his home run totals show, and this is a good spot.

Athletics SP J.T. Ginn has been much better at suppressing lefty power this season, but he's due for some regression and has been a big plus matchup for lefty power in his career.

I have the true odds here for the Tigers infielder at around +550.

Pick: Kevin McGonigle Home Run



Astros vs Nationals Prediction, Pick

Houston Astros Logo
Tuesday, Jul 7
6:45 PM ET
MLB.TV
Washington Nationals Logo
Luis Garcia Home Run
HardRock Logo

This is a good spot for the Nationals’ lefties, and these odds are far too high.

Astros starter Tatsuya Imai has been crushed by lefty power this season, allowing a high 1.91 HR/9. There is a risk of rain in Washington today, but I think they’ll play, and the weather should be a plus for hitting.

Luis Garcia has been on a tear recently, and I have the true odds for him at around +400, making this an excellent bet.

Pick: Luis Garcia Home Run



Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction, Pick

Boston Red Sox Logo
Tuesday, Jul 7
7:40 PM ET
MLB.TV
Chicago White Sox Logo
Colson Montgomery Home Run
FanDuel Logo

This is one of my favorite bets of the day.

Colson Montgomery is priced like this due to the lefty/lefty matchup, but Red Sox SP Payton Tolle has pretty heavy reverse splits, allowing a high 1.64 HR/9 to lefties this season.

Montgomery is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds for the White Sox 3B at around +320.

Pick: Colson Montgomery Home Run



Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick

Colorado Rockies Logo
Tuesday, Jul 7
10:10 PM ET
MLB.TV
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Freddie Freeman Home Run
FanDuel Logo

These odds are a bit low, but it’s a great spot for Freddie Freeman.

Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen has been crushed by lefty power this season, allowing a massive 1.94 HR/9.

This ballpark is one of the best in the majors for power, and I have the true odds for the Dodgers 1B at around +300, making this a great bet.

Pick: Freddie Freeman Home Run



Author Profile
About the Author
Grant NeifferVerified Action Expert

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.