We have our regular 15-game slate on Sunday, with plenty of great spots to pick from. As always, I'm bringing you some bangers for today's MLB action.
Read on for my 5 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of our MLB staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
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| 1:35 PM | |
| 1:35 PM | |
| 1:35 PM | |
| 2:10 PM | |
| 4:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Braves vs. Yankees MLB Home Run Pick
Grant Holmes has been hit hard this season by lefty power, allowing a 1.7 HR/9.
The ballpark is one of the best in the league for power, and the weather is great, with temps in the low 90s and a 9 MPH wind blowing out. I have the true odds on Grish around +300.
Pick: Trent Grisham Home Run (+375)
Blue Jays vs. Phillies MLB Home Run Pick
The spot is a good one, and the odds are too high for Harper.
The ballpark is great for power, and the weather is great for hitting with temps in the low 90s and wind crossing to right at 9 MPH. Bieber has been better vs. lefties, but at this point in his career he's still a well above average matchup for lefty power.
I have the true odds on Harper around +320, making this a great EV bet
Pick: Bryce Harper Home Run (+340)
Athletics vs. Red Sox MLB Home Run Pick
J.T. Ginn has been better this season, but he's still been a plus matchup for lefty power and has historically been an above-average matchup for lefty power.
The ballpark isn't great for power, but the weather more than makes up for it, with temps in the high 80s and the wind blowing out at 11 MPH.
Abreu has been great over the last month, and I have the true odds around +300.
Pick: Wilyer Abreu Home Run (+350)
Guardians vs. White Sox MLB Home Run Pick
The spot here is a lefty/lefty one, but the odds are still too high.
Cantillo hasn't been bad this season, but he's reverse-splits, and despite allowing below-average power to lefties, he's due for some heavy negative regression.
Murakami is one of the best power hitters in the league, and I have the true odds around +320, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+365)
Rays vs. Mariners MLB Home Run Pick
Emerson Hancock has been better this season, but he still struggles with lefty power, allowing a 1.36 HR/9.
The ballpark is an upgrade from the Trop, and Mullins is too good to be priced like this in a plus matchup.
I have the true odds around +500.
