It's Thursday and just 9 games on our slate today. There's still plenty to choose from, and we bring you lots of bangers up until the late games.
Read on for my 4 MLB Home Run Picks Today.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:10 PM | |
  | 2:10 PM | |
| 2:10 PM | |
  | 6:35 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Blue Jays vs Rays MLB Home Run Pick
This is a great spot, and these odds are far too high. Shane Bieber is not remotely close to the same pitcher he used to be, and he's been hammered by righty power since the beginning of last season (allowing over a 2.00 HR/9).
This ballpark isn't great, but I have the true odds here around +270, making this a great bet.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run (+320)
| | | |
Braves vs White Sox MLB Home Run Pick
This is a good spot for Murakami, and these odds are a bit too high. Grant Holmes has been a bit of a gas can for lefty power this season, allowing a high 1.54 HR/9.
Murakami is one of the best HR hitters in the league, and I have the true odds here around +280, making this a great bet.
Pick: Munetaka Murakami Home Run (+325)
| | | |
Braves vs White Sox MLB Home Run Pick
This is a great spot, and these odds are far too high. Grant Holmes has been a plus matchup for righty power this season (1.33 HR/9), but in his career, he's been even worse (1.45 HR/9).
The weather should be mediocre for hitting, but I have the true odds here around +370, making this a great bet.
Pick: Miguel Vargas Home Run (+450)
| | | |
Yankees vs Orioles MLB Home Run Pick
Alonso has been on an absolute tear recently, and these odds are a bit high given his recent form. Gerrit Cole is not the same pitcher he used to be. Although he's allowed a low 0.58 HR/9 this season, with a 39.1% fly-ball rate and 39.1% hard-contact rate, he's due for some massive negative regression.
The weather should be below average for hitting, but I have the true odds here around +310, making this a good bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run (+325)
| | | |
