Sunday’s MLB Over/Under: Blake Snell Continues Pursuit of Cy Young in Toronto
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Blake Snell
Betting odds: Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays
- Over/Under: 8
- First Pitch: 1:07 p.m. ET
- Probable Pitchers: Blake Snell (20-5, 1.97 ERA) vs. Ryan Borucki (4-4, 3.86 ERA)
Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 97-70-4, +19.60 units
Yesterday’s Result: Reds-Marlins Under 7.5, DeSclafani vs. Urena (WIN)
*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit
In the series opener between the Rays and Blue Jays on Thursday, I was unsuccessful with the under in what turned out to be a wild game. I do not plan on whiffing in the series finale, as well — not with the bead I have on this readable pitching matchup.
By now, everyone has recognized the supreme emergence from Tampa Bay left-hander Blake Snell, who has already solidified himself as the majors’ first 20-game winner in two years, even with two starts still to spare.
With a Cy Young clearly in his sights — he’s probably the favorite right now based on his incredible numbers across the board — how can we not anticipate Snell coming through again while he’s been so remarkably consistent?
And in a day game following a night game, too, meaning he’ll draw some lighter-hitting backups in the opposing batting order.
While the third-year lefty has been tremendously consistent all year, you could argue that he hasn’t looked any better than the way he’s going right now.
He’s won eight straight starts and has given up no more than a single earned run in all but one of his nine outings since the All-Star break. (In the one instance where Snell didn’t, he gave up two.)
At this point, Snell couldn’t be any more confident, and being so close to the finish line, I believe he has the mindset to hold on and just continue his outstanding work.
So long as we can get the usual outing from Snell, then we just need a dance partner who can be trusted not to get shelled.
Enter Ryan Borucki, another southpaw who seems to be at peak confidence right now.
Just look at his last start: for the second time in his rookie season, Borucki logged eight innings — and for the first time didn’t give up a run. It also continued an impressive run of three consecutive quality starts by Borucki.
Though this will be only his 16th assignment, Borucki has exhibited some glaring home-and-road splits early on. He carries a 2.65 ERA at Rogers Centre, easily besting the 4.82 ERA he’s posted away from Toronto.
Borucki faced the Rays once previously, giving up two runs in six innings with five strikeouts just three starts ago. Even if he’s decently off from that stat line, it can still be useful for this under wager.
It’s smart to put in your bet on the under right away, as there’s no way it goes to 8.5 — especially after lineups were released and something called a “Jonathan Davis” is batting leadoff for Toronto.
Play: UNDER 8 (-115)