Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, Aug. 12: Expect a Pirates-Angels Pitchers’ Duel?

Aug 12, 2019 06:25 PM EDT
Credit:

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Monday's slate of games, including how to bet Astros-White Sox (8:10 p.m. ET) and Pirates-Angels (10:07 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

The Angels (58-61) and Pirates (48-69) begin an Interleague matchup in Anaheim on Monday, and though this game won’t have an immediate impact on the 2019 playoff race, both teams will send out a couple of young starters who they are looking to develop as rotation pieces for potential runs in 2020.

Jose Suarez will make his 11th start for the Angels, while the Pirates recalled top prospect Mitch Keller from Triple-A to make his fourth career MLB appearance.

Though I don’t see a big edge on either side in this matchup, I did make a play on the total. Where should you lean in this game?

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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