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Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds: Expert MLB Pick for Sunday Night Baseball

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds: Expert MLB Pick for Sunday Night Baseball article feature image
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Pictured: Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Sonny Gray. (Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images)

The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees on June 28, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBC/Peacock.

The Red Sox are -118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are +100 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

  • Yankees vs Red Sox Pick: Under 8 (-112)

My Yankees vs Red Sox best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Yankees vs Red Sox Odds

Yankees Logo
Sunday, Jun 28
7:20 p.m. ET
NBC/Peacock
Red Sox Logo
Yankees Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+160
8
-108o / -112u
+100
Red Sox Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-194
8
-108o / -112u
-118
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Yankees vs Red Sox moneyline: Yankees +100, Red Sox -118
  • Yankees vs Red Sox over/under: 8 (-108o / -112u)
  • Yankees vs Red Sox spread: Yankees -1.5 (+160), Red Sox +1.5 (+194)

Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers

LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY)StatRHP Sonny Gray (BOS)
4-2W-L9-1
0.8fWAR (FanGraphs)1.2
3.70 / 3.84ERA / xERA2.95 / 3.80
3.49 / 3.96FIP / xFIP3.81 / 3.69
13.9%K-BB%14.7%
39.8%GB%48.0%
.277BABIP.288
108Stuff+102
85Location+98

Yankees vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview

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New York Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees (48-34) are looking to avoid a four-game sweep by the division rival Red Sox. It's been a great season for the Bronx Bombers, but they've fallen on hard times recently. It's clear that they miss their superstar slugger, Aaron Judge.

Carlos Rodon takes the mound for the Yankees. He's putting up a 3.84 xERA with a 26.6% strikeout rate this season, but the 12.7% walk rate has been an issue.

They'll need him to put forth a quality outing in this spot because the bats are a bit cold at the plate.

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Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox (35-46) have had a disastrous season. Part of that is due to injuries to key players like Garrett Crochet and Roman Anthony, but even with that, no one thought they'd be 11 games below .500 in late June.

Sonny Gray is on the mound for Boston, and he's been rock-solid for them, putting up a 3.80 xERA in 76.1 innings.

They'll look to complete the four-game sweep of the Yankees here.


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Yankees vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis

I'm riding with Yankees/Red Sox Under 8. We've got two veteran starters who are capable of going deep in games in Carlos Rodon and Sonny Gray.

Rodon has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all eight of his starts this year. Gray is on a similar streak, allowing three earned runs or fewer in 10 consecutive outings.

Then you have to consider the bullpens. The Yankees are third in xERA, while the Red Sox are 12th.

Despite that, we're getting a nice number at 8 in this spot, so we'll go with the under here.

Pick: Under 8 (-112)


Yankees vs Red Sox Weather


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About the Author
Frank AmmiranteVerified Action Expert

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