The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on July 9, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Rays are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Rays Prediction
- Yankees vs Rays Pick: Under 7.5
My Yankees vs Rays best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Rays Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -166 | 7.5 -114o / -106u | +136 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +138 | 7.5 -114o / -106u | -162 |
- Yankees vs Rays moneyline: Yankees +136, Rays -162
- Yankees vs Rays over/under: 7.5 (-114 / -106)
- Yankees vs Rays spread: Rays -1.5 (+138), Yankees +1.5 (-166)
Yankees vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
It looks like the Yankees are rolling with a bullpen game in this one, although I can't say who will open.
That's not necessarily a bad thing. The Rays won't get a good look at any one arm, and New York's bullpen is rested and has performed well this season, ranking sixth among MLB teams in reliever fWAR (3.5).
Meanwhile, the Yankees will have to face Drew Rasmussen again, and that hasn't gone well for them before.
Rasmussen has been uber-consistent since joining Tampa's rotation, posting a 2.77 ERA and 3.54 xFIP with an 18% K-BB rate. He's got a great combination of stuff (108 Stuff+), command (105 Location+), and weak-contact stuff (34% hard-hit rate).
Yankees vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
New York's offense has been a shell of its former self without Aaron Judge.
Although I don't think the Rays have a much better lineup, given Zerillo projects them at 97 wRC+.
I also like the Rays bullpen, which I think has been underrated by the season-long stats — I'd project this as a top-10 bullpen.
All in all, I think we're in for a very low-scoring ballgame.
Pick: Under 7.5
