The Miami Marlins host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 12, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Pirates are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are -100 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction
- Pirates vs Marlins Pick: Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits (+175, DraftKings)
My Pirates vs Marlins best bet is on Mangum to record 2+ hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Marlins Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 8 -119o / -102u | -100 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +162 | 8 -119o / -102u | -118 |
- Pirates vs Marlins moneyline: Pirates -100, Marlins -118
- Pirates vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-119o / -102u)
- Pirates vs Marlins spread: Pirates -1.5 (+162), Pirates -1.5 (+162)
Pirates vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Stat | Janson Junk |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | W-L | 5-7 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.51 / 4.93 | ERA / xERA | 4.63 / 4.22 |
| 3.62 / 4.34 | FIP / xFIP | 4.36 / 4.34 |
| 10.8 | K-BB% | 11.1 |
| 40.1 | GB% | 43 |
| .308 | BABIP | .302 |
| 92 | Stuff+ | 101 |
| 104 | Location+ | 109 |
Pirates vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Pirates center fielder Jake Mangum for 1.76 hits in tonight's matchup against the Marlins, giving us a strong 16.8% edge against the market compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5 hits, which is enough to tag the Over with an A- grade in our system.
Pirates vs Marlins Pick, Betting Analysis
To clear a 1.5 hits threshold is never an easy task for any batter in player props markets. However, Mangum has consistently proven capable to deliver at the plate throughout his impressive 2026 campaign. The 30-year-old outfielder has been a reliable contact machine for Pittsburgh, with 96 hits on the season and a sharp .303 batting average.
His recent form makes this prop even more appealing. Mangum reached multiple hits in six of his last 10 contests, proof of a high floor and a natural knack to find gaps.
After a quiet 0-for-4 performance on Tuesday against Eury Perez's dominant pitching, Mangum gets a far more favorable bounce-back setup tonight at LoanDepot Park. Miami sends right-hander Janson Junk to the mound, who carries a vulnerable 4.63 ERA. Junk's hittable profile and tendency to allow traffic on the bases give Mangum multiple chances to build momentum right from the top of the order.
Pick: Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits (+175, DraftKings)
