Rangers vs Diamondbacks World Series Game 2 Best Bets | MLB Prediction, Odds Saturday
Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Corbin Carroll.
Here's everything you need to know about the latest Diamondbacks vs Rangers odds with an expert pick and prediction for this World Series Game 2 clash.
The Rangers won Game 1 in thrilling fashion, getting a game-tying home run from Corey Seager in the bottom of the ninth and then a walk-off home run by Adolis Garcia in extra innings. They'll look to gain a commanding 2-0 series lead tonight, while the Diamondbacks will look to even up the series before it shifts back to Arizona.
Let's preview the game and make our Diamondbacks vs Rangers prediction.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks World Series Game 2 Odds, Prediction
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -162 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | +124 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +134 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | -146 |
By D.J. James
Christian Walker has been relatively quiet in the playoffs thus far. He has a 95 wRC+ and 21.2% walk rate with a 26.9% strikeout rate. His OPS is only .699 going into the World Series, but he should swing in this one.
From September 1 through Friday, he held a .483 xwOBA off of lefties and .324 xwOBA off of righties. In this game, he will get the luck of the draw and faces southpaw Jordan Montgomery.
Yes, Montgomery has a 2.16 ERA in the playoffs over five appearances, but he held a 3.20 ERA against a 4.04 xERA in the regular season. In addition, for a historically ground-ball pitcher, his ground-ball rate was only 43.8%. This dropped over 4% since 2022. His Hard-Hit Rate was only a little better than average, as well.
Adding onto that, the woes in the Rangers' bullpen will continue. This is the kryptonite of this team, so if the D'backs force the starter out early, Bruce Bochy is between a rock and a hard place. No one in the Texas bullpen has an xFIP below 4.50. The Rangers also have six relievers above a 12% walk rate, so Walker should be able to pick and choose his spots to hit.
Given that Walker slugged 12 homers from August 1 to the World Series, his home run prop holds some value here. Take it to +375.
By Doug Ziefel
Many players are becoming overpriced in this market, but the one they have yet to price correctly is your NL Rookie of the Year, Corbin Carroll. Carroll has caught fire over the last four games of the postseason, as he's recorded a hit in each of them.
With Carroll getting hot at the plate, he's been a strong play in this market, as his spot at the top of the order and his speed on the basepaths have almost guaranteed he scores a run whenever he's on. Carroll has exceeded this total in three straight games and 58% of games this season.
That hit rate gives us implied odds of -138, which is a solid line value in a spot where he's not projected to struggle. Carroll hit a respectable .283 against left-handed pitching, and if he can get on, many of the Diamondbacks righties have seen Montgomery well, so they will drive him in.
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