The Philadelphia Phillies host the Colorado Rockies on May 8, 2026. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
The Phillies are favored by -220 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +180 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Phillies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction
- Rockies vs Phillies Pick: Under 7.5 (-120) | Play to 7 (-108)
My Rockies vs Phillies best bet is on the under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Phillies Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 7.5 100o / -120u | +180 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 7.5 100o / -120u | -220 |
- Rockies vs Phillies moneyline: Rockies +180, Phillies -220
- Rockies vs Phillies over/under: 7.5 (+103o / -123u)
- Rockies vs Phillies spread: Phillies -1.5 (+105 ), Rockies +1.5 (-127)
Rockies vs Phillies Probable Pitchers
| Chase Dollander (RHP) | Stat | Jesus Luzardo (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 3-3 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 3.38/3.14 | ERA / xERA | 5.09/3.17 |
| 3.49/3.47 | FIP / xFIP | 2.72/2.42 |
| 19.2 | K-BB% | 24.4 |
| 51.5 | GB% | 48.6 |
| .284 | BABIP | .368 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 111 |
| 99 | Location+ | 103 |
Rockies vs Phillies MLB Betting Preview
Editor's Note: This written article is a transcription from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.
The Rockies have been basically league average against right-handed pitching this season, but they’ve struggled against lefties — posting just a 68 wRC+. That’s been a long-standing issue for them. This is one of my worst projected offenses on the slate.
On the other side, we’ve got Jesus Luzardo. We talked about him before his last start — his ERA has masked some real gains he’s made this year. He’s posted an expected FIP of 1.9 and a SIERA of 2.7. Based on the underlying metrics so far this season, I’ve had Luzardo as a top-three starter.
Then you’ve got Chase Dollander, who has always been one of my favorite pitching prospects. We tried to bet him a bunch of times last year on the road when he was getting a longer leash. He’s been much better this season — sub-3.00 expected FIP, throwing 99 mph, and keeping the ball on the ground over 50% of the time. I think the breakout is legitimate.
Dollander is the best pitcher the Rockies have had in a long time — maybe since Ubaldo Jiménez was competing for Cy Youngs, or even Mike Hampton before that. I’m genuinely excited to bet him, even in Colorado.
Overall, I make the total around 6.7 for this game. I’m betting the Under 7 down to -108.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-120) | Play to 7 (-108)
