Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Picks, Predictions: Bet Kansas City for Monday Matinee (May 9)

Royals vs. Orioles Odds, Picks, Predictions: Bet Kansas City for Monday Matinee (May 9) article feature image

Jamie Squire/Getty Images. Pictured: Salvador Perez #13 of the Kansas City Royals.

  • The Royals and Orioles wrap up their series with a day game in Baltimore.
  • The two teams split the first two games, but the matchups indicate there's value on Kansas City in the finale.
  • Tony Sartori previews the game and shares his best bet below.

Royals vs. Orioles Odds

Royals Odds+115
Orioles Odds-135
Over/Under7.5 (-110/-110)
Time12:05 p.m. ET
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

We have the third and final game of this series as the American League East's Baltimore Orioles host the AL Central's Kansas City Royals. These two teams have split the first two games of the series, with the Orioles coming off a 4-2 win in the second game.

Will Baltimore finish the deal and win the series at home, or can the Royals steal the series with a win as a road underdog?

Kansas City Royals: Hernandez Has Fared Well Against Baltimore

Kansas City enters this contest in poor form as it has lost six of its past eight games. However, I believe this game is a good spot to buy low on the Royals.

Right-hander Carlos Hernandez is projected to get the start for Kansas City and has had great success against Baltimore. Last season, Hernandez produced a 1.80 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in two starts against the Orioles.

Additionally, Hernandez could get some good run support in this game as the Royals are slated to go against right-hander Tyler Wells. Over their past three games facing a right-handed starting pitcher, Kansas City is averaging 4.33 runs per game.

While that number does not jump off the page, in a game where the total is set at 7.5 between two bad teams, four or five runs will likely be enough to win. Eight of Kansas City's nine wins this season have come against right-handed starting pitchers.

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Baltimore Orioles: Wells Has Struggled Early in 2022

The Baltimore Orioles enter this matchup in relatively good form as they have won five of their past eight games. However, just as I think it is a good spot to buy low on Kansas City, I think this is a good spot to sell high on the Orioles.

Right-hander Tyler Wells is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. Through five starts this season, Wells is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.222 WHIP.

The bats may struggle to help out Wells as the Orioles are slated to go against right-hander Carlos Hernandez. Through 23 career plate appearances against Hernandez, this current Orioles roster possesses a mere .200 BA, .200 SLG, and .243 wOBA.

Another reason why I believe we may be getting value in the Royals as an underdog is because of a few cents added to the Orioles line for being at home. However, this is noon start local time in Baltimore on a Monday — with kids in school and adults at work, this ball park will be practically empty.

Royals-Orioles Pick

Neither of these teams are good and this game should be a coin flip. That being said, I will take the road team at plus money considering the matchups.

Hernandez has fared well against the Orioles and the majority of Kansas City's success this season has come against right-handed pitchers. Baltimore has been winning games lately, however, I expect them to regress as they possesses one of the worst rosters in baseball.

Pick: Kansas City Royals ML (+115) | Play down to (+100)

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