The Atlanta Braves host the San Francisco Giants on July 22, 2025. First pitch from Truist Park is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-BA.
The Giants dropped Game 1 in Atlanta and will look to rebound.
Find my MLB betting preview and Giants vs Braves prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Giants vs Braves Prediction
- Giants vs Braves picks: Giants ML (-108, DraftKings | Play to -130)
My Giants vs Braves best bet is on the Giants moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Braves Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +143 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -108 |
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -112 |
Giants vs Braves Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Landen Roupp (SFG) | Stat | RHP Davis Daniel (ATL) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 3.27 / 4.04 | ERA / xERA | 1.80 / 5.07 |
| 3.66 / 3.99 | FIP / xFIP | 3.09 / 4.58 |
| 1.45 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 2.2 | K-BB% | 2.0 |
| 47.2% | GB% | 36.4% |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 82 |
| 107 | Location+ | 91 |
Sean Paul’s Giants vs Braves Preview
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview: Still With Many Doubts
The injuries to Spencer Schwellenbach and Chris Sale have forced the Braves to look at players they probably didn't expect to deliver big innings in 2025. It'll be just the third outing and second start for Davis Daniel in the bigs this year.
Last year, Daniel posted a dreadful 6.23 ERA across 30 innings for the Angels. He's been a fine, but not great, pitcher in five outings at AAA, posting a 3.52 ERA in 76 2/3 innings with 60 strikeouts and a 1.25 WHIP. That isn't a real surprise, given that Daniel sits in the 90-to-93 MPH range with his fastball.
July has been an excellent month for the Braves' bats. Since the calendar flipped to July, Atlanta ranks 14th with a 107 wRC+.Several factors have contributed to Atlanta's sudden offensive surge; one is opting to play both catchers, Drake Baldwin and Sean Murphy, against right-handers, rather than using Marcell Ozuna as DH.
Murphy leads the Braves with a 203 wRC+ in July, while Baldwin is sitting at 137. Compare that to Ozuna's 68 wRC+, and it's a considerable boost. The other factor is Jurickson Profar, who is back from his PED suspension. He's filled a hole occupied by numerous soft-hitting outfielders in his absence.
The bottom of Atlanta's lineup likely caps its offensive ceiling. While Nick Allen and Michael Harris both provide elite defense at premium positions, they are total negatives in the batter's box. Plus, Ozzie Albies is having another tough year outside of two good games in the Yankees series.
However, the Braves could struggle to expose Roupp's command issues. They have a rough 6.8% walk rate in July and have a ton of free swingers. I don't see the walk rate improving. Atlanta can get itself in serious trouble facing Roupp's sinker if it swings too early in counts.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview: Waiting for Devers to Deliver
Landon Roupp will need to give the Giants a lengthy outing. Monday was an impromptu bullpen game, as Hayden Birdsong couldn't get a single out, walking four of his five batters faced. The best path to the Giants winning here is with Roupp providing a strong six innings, which he's done in four of his last eight outings.
Roupp has a 3.27 ERA with a 4.04 xERA and 3.66 FIP. I'm not surprised the underlying numbers are worse than his ERA, as he walks 3.83 batters per nine innings. We can live with Roupp walking a few Braves hitters if he can use his elite sinker to generate more grounders.
Oftentimes, Roupp generates softly hit grounders. He sits in the 83rd percentile among qualified pitchers in hard-hit rate allowed and the 75th percentile in average exit velocity allowed. Those numbers are a sinkerballer's dream.
The Giants' offense has been a real sore spot for over a month. If you flip the data to a month ago, they have the third-worst wRC+ (87) in MLB. The only teams worse than the Giants during the span are the Pirates and Guardians.
They also have just 23 homers in those 30 games, sitting 29th in baseball. Part of that problem is playing at Oracle Park, but this offense was supposed to get a jolt after acquiring Rafael Devers. And until he starts performing like the multi-time All-Star he is, the Giants won't solve their problems.
Devers collected a pair of hits on Monday after roping a double in Sunday's loss to Toronto. He's a pretty streaky hitter, so this could be a sign of things to come for the lefty slugger.
While Devers is struggling, Willy Adames has been dynamite for the past month. He boasts a dazzling 143 wRC+, but he's San Francisco's lone regular batter with a wRC+ in the triple digits. It'll need more from Devers and Matt Chapman to help their fellow highly-paid superstar rescue the offense.
You could argue, well, maybe that's what the Giants' offense is. I can't buy into that. They have way too much talent to be in the same conversation as the Pirates and Guardians offenses. It's only a matter of time until things get on track, and it starts with the hitter they brought in to lift them, not sink them.
Giants vs Braves Prediction, Betting Analysis
The line is pretty tight as I expected it to be.
I don't see a massive edge in either direction, but I'll back the more reliable pitcher.
While Daniel isn't someone bettors can feel safe about backing, Roupp has led the Giants to wins in five of his past seven outings.
The Giants will break their losing skid here, as it looks to snag a second-half victory finally.
Pick: Giants ML (-108, DraftKings | Play to -130)
Moneyline
As mentioned, I'm taking the Giants ML.
Run Line (Spread)
No play here in this game.
Over/Under
I'm not interested in the total.
