The New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants on August 3, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Read our Giants vs Mets prediction and MLB over/under pick.
My Giants vs Mets Prediction
- Giants vs Mets Picks: Under 8.5 (+100, BetMGM)
Giants vs Mets Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +135 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -160 |
Tanner McGrath’s Giants vs Mets Preview
This game activated one of our Bet Labs Systems, powered by our own Evan Abrams.
Sunday Unders on Over Streaks targets MLB games where the home team is coming off a few consecutive Overs, suggesting recent offensive overperformance and thus inflated totals.
The theory is that on Sundays — often the final game of a series and an early start — teams may rest key hitters, resulting in inconsistent lineups. At the same time, pitchers perform better against lineups the team has already seen.
Not only has this system been profitable since 2005, but it’s also 40-32-3 this season (56% win rate, 7% ROI).
The Mets put up 12 runs on Friday, but they haven’t been hitting well over the past few weeks (95 wRC+, 22nd), and they tend to perform worse against left-handed pitching (89 wRC+, 18th) — the Giants are starting the left-handed Carson Whisenhunt for this game.
Meanwhile, the Giants have struggled mightily since trading for Rafael Devers, posting a 97 wRC+ over the past month (22nd).
These are two solid bullpens and two good defensive teams. Plus, our MLB betting guru Sean Zerillo projects the total at just 8.01, showing tons of value on the Under 8.5 available at BetMGM.
Pick: Under 8.5 (+100, BetMGM)
