Sunday Night Baseball Padres vs. Dodgers MLB Prediction, Odds: The 10% ROI Pick (Sept. 4)
Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images. Pictured: Juan Soto
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
|Over/Under||9.5 (o -112 / u -108)|
|Date||Sunday, September 4|
|Time||7:08 p.m. ET|
*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday afternoon
This Sunday Night Baseball game between two sturdy playoff contenders fits a betting algorithm developed by the Action Network that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 10%.
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this betting trend since 2005, you'd be up about $14,000. That's roughly $800 per year.
And this is over a massive sample size: 1,400+ games over the last 17 odd seasons. Substantial data sets like this one, of course, ensure statistical significance.
The betting system incorporates public tracking data also proprietary to the Action Network. The philosophy behind the algorithm is simple: fade the retail bettors on unpopular teams.
This system's 10% return on investment is better than the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has hovered at around 8% for over a century. That index is down about 18% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down about 58% during that same timeframe.
Still, don't use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing. The aforementioned figures are purely for reference.
Sunday Night Baseball Betting System Pick
This historically profitable betting system targets teams that have been thrown into the waste bin.
The team you'd bet on needs to be on at least a two-game losing streak, and its moneyline needs to have fewer than 35% of the public's wagers.
So, the retail bettors are riding with the favorite, and the underdog hasn't done well in recent games.
As aforementioned, this betting system has returned 10% of your initial stake since 2005.
But while Sunday may be the day to cash in, keep in mind that the $800 per year profit is accrued over a season-long sample size.
The best way to maximize that 10% ROI is to bet on every game that fits this system for the remainder of the season. There are roughly 35 more games that will fit this algorithm in 2022.
Additionally, the system only wins 41% of the time — the 10% ROI occurs because you're exclusively betting on underdogs. So you have to be comfortable with losing more individual bets than you win.