The Boston Red Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays on June 18, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Blue Jays are favored by -108 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Red Sox are -108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Pick: Blue Jays ML (play to -135)
My Blue Jays vs Red Sox best bet is on Toronto to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Odds
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | -108 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 8.5 -118o / -104u | -108 |
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox moneyline: Blue Jays -108, Red Sox -108
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox over/under: 8.5 (-118o / -104u)
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+150), Red Sox +1.5 (-182)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| RHP Trey Yesavage (TOR) | Stat | RHP Sonny Gray (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 8-1 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.78 / 3.15 | ERA / xERA | 3.03 / 4.11 |
| 3.58 / 4.62 | FIP / xFIP | 3.62 / 3.75 |
| 11.1% | K-BB% | 13.7% |
| 34.4% | GB% | 48.4% |
| .262 | BABIP | .294 |
| 110 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 87 | Location+ | 99 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Don't sleep on the Blue Jays, who find themselves right in the AL Wild Card picture despite having a record under .500.
With a sweep in their sights, Toronto will hand the ball to right-hander Trey Yesavage, who held Boston to zero runs in 5 1/3 innings back in April.
In his full rookie campaign, Yesavage boasts a 3.78 ERA with a 3.15 xERA and 3.58 FIP. His last two starts were a nightmare, giving up 11 earned runs in just 11 2/3 innings.
Even worse, Yesavage walked 15 batters in his last 15 2/3 innings. Command is the one thing holding him back from becoming an ace, but he's still just 61 innings into his big league career. Opponents only muster a .195 xBA against him – among the best marks in MLB – but his inability to stay in the zone can haunt him.
Offensively, the Blue Jays are still looking to reclaim the magic from last year's postseason run.
They rank 21st in MLB with a 96 wRC+, but their 19% strikeout rate probably makes them a bit better than that. Putting the ball in play can save a team like Toronto, which ranks outside the top-20 in home runs and ISO.
The Blue Jays need Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to play like an MVP candidate – or at least an All-Star and he's been nothing close to either. He has a 102 wRC+, three homers, and an ISO worse than Myles Straw.
When the game gets to the ninth inning, you might as well leave if you're the opposing fan base because Louis Varland is filthy. Varland stole the closer role from Jeff Hoffman and is pitching to an 0.92 ERA with a 12 K/9.
Opposing Yesavage is an MLB veteran, Sonny Gray. Gray has bounced back from a dicey 2025 season by pitching to a 3.03 ERA. The underlying numbers aren't quite as bullish, as his xERA is 4.11 and his FIP is 3.62.
The magic number for Gray? Six. Not six innings, six strikeouts. When Gray gets 6+ strikeouts, the Red Sox are 4-0, a number he eclipsed in two of his last four outings. Though It'll be difficult for Gray to reach that number against this high-contact Toronto lineup.
Fenway Park is usually one of the toughest places to play in the league for away teams. This year, it's a totally different story, as Boston is 12-23 at home.
That all stems from their offense not being able to hit at home. They have an 85 wRC+ at home, the third-worst in the league — ahead of the Angels and Rockies — the two worst teams in MLB.
In general, this Boston team lacks offensive talent. Willson Contreras is enjoying a career year, posting a 158 wRC+. He's one of three starters who have a wRC+ above 95 — Wilyer Abreu and Ceddane Rafaela are the other two.
Once Yesavage navigates through the meat of this Red Sox order, he can shut down the middle-to-bottom with relative ease.
I just think the Blue Jays have all the advantages here. They have the better pitcher, facing a team that struggles to hit at home, and their ability to put the ball in play can make life tough for Gray.
Pick: Blue Jays ML (play to -135)
