Tuesday MLB Props Odds & PrizePicks Plays: 5 Picks, Featuring Ke’Bryan Hayes & Jesse Winker (June 28)
Tim Heitman/Getty Images. Pictured: Jesse Winker.
- Tuesday's MLB slate is a big one, as every team takes the field.
- Tony Sartori has picked out five plays for his PrizePicks parlay, including picks for Ke'Bryan Hayes, Jesse Winker and JP Crawford.
- Check out all five of Sartori's top plays below.
Tuesday's MLB slate features 16 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Tuesday, June 28
Daniel Vogelbach Hitter Fantasy Score Over 6.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game series, as the NL East's Washington Nationals host the NL Central's Pittsburgh Pirates.
I'm backing a couple of Pittsburgh hitters in this contest, as they're slated to go against left-hander Patrick Corbin.
Corbin has been the most fade-worthy pitcher in baseball this season as he continues to struggle against everyone. Through 15 starts this season, Corbin boasts a 3-10 record with a 6.60 ERA and 1.79 WHIP.
His metrics are just as bad, owning a .403 xwOBA, .317 xBA and .573 xSLG. In terms of recent form, Corbin has allowed at least two homers and seven hits in each of his last three starts.
These troubling figures should bode well for multiple Pittsburgh batters, including Daniel Vogelbach. Going over this total in five of his last nine games (56%), Vogelbach should be able to keep It going against Corbin.
While he has struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, Corbin will most likely not last long in this outing, meaning Vogelbach will get plenty of chances against the Nationals' bullpen. Since May 1, Washington's relief pitching ranks just 25th in the league in ERA, 28th in BA, 26th in SLG and 23rd in wOBA.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Hitter Fantasy Score Over 8
The other Pittsburgh hitter I'm backing in this contest is Ke'Bryan Hayes. Hayes has excelled against left-handed pitchers this season, as his numbers jump by approximately 40%.
Hayes boasts a .324 BA, .390 OBP, .486 SLG and .877 OPS against left-handers this year. Going against Corbin and the Nationals' bullpen, Hayes should be able to continue his solid year.
Jose Quintana Over 4 Strikeouts
I'm also backing Pittsburgh's starting pitcher, Jose Quintana, in this contest. The Pirates left-hander has reached at least four strikeouts in four straight outings and eight of his last nine starts (89%).
It makes sense that this number is set so low due to the fact that the Nationals are pretty good at avoiding strikeouts and Quintana failed to get to this number in his start against them earlier this year.
That being said, this streak has been going strong for Quintana, and we saw opposing pitchers reach this total a few times in Washington's series against the Orioles just last week.
Jesse Winker Hitter Fantasy Score Under 6.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game series, as the AL West's Seattle Mariners host the AL East's Baltimore Orioles.
I'm fading a few Seattle hitters in this contest as the Baltimore pitching staff looks to continue its recent dominance.
Winners of eight of their last 11 games, the Orioles' staff has allowed three or fewer total runs in nine of those outings. This dominance could continue, as right-hander Dean Kremer is slated to take the mound for Baltimore.
Through four starts this season, Kremer has gone 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Following Kremer is Baltimore's strong bullpen.
Since May 1, the Orioles' relief pitching ranks fourth in the league in ERA, 12th in BA, eighth in SLG and eighth in wOBA.
The first batter I'm fading from Seattle in this game is Jesse Winker, who has now gone under this total in seven of his last 11 games (64%).
When facing right-handed pitchers this season, Winker's numbers take about a 23% dip with a mere .220 BA, .348 OBP, .302 SLG and .651 OPS.
J.P. Crawford Hitter Fantasy Score Under 6.5
The other Seattle hitter I'm fading in this contest is J.P. Crawford. In three career plate appearances against Kremer, Crawford is 0-3 with two strikeouts.
Additionally, Crawford has gone under this total in nine of his last 10 games (90%). With how outstanding this Baltimore pitching staff has been lately, I don't expect Crawford to reverse these trends in this contest.