We have a full 15-game slate on Sunday, starting with Reds vs Pirates and Nationals vs Orioles at 1:35 PM ET, and closing with Yankees vs. Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball at 7:20 PM ET.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Sunday, June 28.
Below are 4 expert MLB best bets today.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:40 PM | |
  | 2:10 PM | |
  | 3:15 PM | |
  | 4:10 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Tony Sartori's Phillies vs Mets Moneyline Bet
By Tony Sartori
Now is the time to buy low on left-hander Jesús Luzardo, who takes the mound for the Phillies. He is coming off a poor outing and has had a volatile start to the 2026 season.
That said, his underlying metrics suggest he is pitching much better than his surface-level stats indicate. This season, Luzardo owns a 3.24 xERA and a .224 xBA.
He also ranks in the 89th percentile in average exit velocity, 85th percentile in strikeout rate, 70th percentile in barrel rate, and 91st percentile in hard-hit rate. Positive regression appears likely, especially against the New York Mets, a team he has dominated.
The Mets are a mess, as evidenced by David Stearns’ recent firing of manager Carlos Mendoza. However, Mendoza was an easy scapegoat for a poorly constructed roster that cannot hit or find consistent starting pitching.
The one silver lining for New York this season has been its bullpen. However, even that strength is neutralized in this matchup, as Philadelphia’s relief staff ranks ahead of the Mets’ in xERA, FIP, xFIP, and WAR.
Pick: Phillies ML (-140 or Better)
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System-Based Cubs vs Brewers Best Bet
By Bet Labs
This game fired up our "Silent Sharp Unders" Bet Labs system.
The Silent Sharp Unders system targets regular-season MLB games where both teams are performing well, yet the total has quietly dropped from open to close. These are games featuring competent, winning teams with recent success, stable weather conditions, and closing totals in a common scoring range.
Despite both teams showing strength, the market subtly favors the under—likely due to matchup specifics, pitching, or pace factors. By following this soft signal—when the public eye is more focused on win streaks and not totals—this system finds value in betting against inflated scoring expectations.
While the public focuses on the runs these teams can score, pros focus on how to prevent runs. Woodruff is a bona fide ace back at full strength and fully capable of silencing any lineup. On the flip side, a well-managed bullpen game by the Cubs means Milwaukee hitters won't get a third look at any single arm—a tactical approach that has traditionally suppressed offensive rhythm.
Playing inside the dome at American Family Field eliminates the volatile weather factors—such as shifting winds or sudden midsummer temperature spikes—that often inflate baseball totals. The stable conditions give the pitchers a baseline advantage.
This line opened with a higher hook but has subtly ticked down to a flat 8. When sportsbooks drop a total despite two elite offenses on display, it is a glaring indicator that sharp, professional money is hitting the Under.
Pick: Cubs vs Brewers Under 8.5 (-104)
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Sean Paul's Athletics vs Angels Over/Under Pick
By Sean Paul
The Angels' rotation is one of their very few strengths, with rising stars such as Reid Detmers, Walbert Urena, and Jose Soriano pitching well. They'll hand the ball to Sam Aldegheri, who is looking to carve out a regular spot in the rotation.
The Angels might be without Mike Trout, but they're hitting well of late, ranking 11th in wRC+ since June 14th. Sure, it's a small sample, but it's 15th with a 110 wRC+ this month.
Can the Halos rely on Jose Siri, Wade Meckler, and Donovan Walton to post a wRC+ better than 125 all year? Probably not, but these next-man-up Angels are becoming staples in the lineup.
The Athletics will give the ball to veteran right-hander Aaron Civale, who has a 4.88 ERA. Given that he has a 5.31 xERA and 5.34 FIP, I find it very unlikely that Civale suddenly shifts his season into a successful one.
Measuring how good the Athletics offense is can be challenging. If you look at their June stats, they rank ninth in MLB with a 115 wRC+ and are also first with 43 homers. However, it's important to put those numbers into context. They played a chunk of those games in Las Vegas and some in Sacramento, two hitters' havens.
On the road, the Athletics are 24th in wRC+ this year. It's normal for a team to hit better at home, but the A's really test those limits.
Talent-wise, I have enough faith in the Athletics lineup to think they're better than 24th in wRC+, even on the road. Nick Kurtz is among the best hitters in the league, Shea Langeliers is a top-notch catcher who has an OPS over .800, and Henry Bolte has given them a nice spark at the top of their lineup.
Between the two terrible bullpens and the bad starting pitchers, this game figures to be a high-scoring one.
Sure, it's a road game for the Athletics, but both offenses are plenty good enough to send this total over.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-112)
Read Sean Paul's full Athletics-Angels preview here:
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Ryan Minion's Braves vs Giants 3 Picks
By Ryan Minion
I’m very excited for this National League matchup, especially on the mound between two former Cy Young winners.
Chris Sale hasn’t lost anything in his age-37 season, running a 2.14 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 29% strikeout rate through 84 innings this season.
While he hasn’t been quite as good, Robbie Ray has been pretty effective on the mound himself, running a 3.70 ERA across 88 frames.
But this will be a very tough test for Ray, given that Atlanta’s lineup is one of baseball’s best, even with Ronald Acuna Jr. on the IL.
In this matchup, I’m looking to bet on Michael Harris, especially considering he’s gotten the best of Ray in past encounters — Harris is 2-for-3 lifetime off Ray with a double and a homer.
I think Sale, Harris, and the Braves will have a big day against Ray, the sluggish San Francisco bats, and the uber-slow Giants defense.
Pick: Braves ML (-156), Braves -1.5 (+112), Michael Harris Over 1.5 HRR (-135)
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