Tuesday MLB Props, PrizePicks Plays: Our 5 Picks, Including James Kaprielian & Mike Yastrzemski (August 9)
Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images. Pictured: Oakland Athletics starting pitcher James Kaprielian.
Tuesday's Major League Baseball slate features a full 16 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
Enter PrizePicks.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Tuesday’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Tuesday
James Kaprielian — Under 4.5 Hits Allowed
We have the second matchup of this three-game AL West intra-divisional series with the Oakland Athletics hosting the Los Angeles Angels. Kaprielian has gone under this total in five of his last seven starts, a trend I expect to continue in this matchup.
Through 17 starts this season, Kaprielian is 3-5 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. While those numbers are not the best, he has been in terrific form recently.
Over his last eight starts, Kaprielian is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. This trend should continue against an Angels team that has struggled against Kaprielian in the past.
Through 70 career plate appearances against Kaprielian, this current Angels roster possesses a mere .168 xBA, .319 xSLG, and .227 xwOBA. Since July 1, the Los Angeles ranks just 29th in the league in BA, 26th in SLG, 28th in wOBA, and 19th in hard hit percentage when facing right-handed pitchers.
Ramon Laureano — Fantasy Score Over 4
We are also backing one hitter from Oakland in this game, Ramon Laureano. Even though he is going against the dominant right-hander Shohei Ohtani, this number is set too low.
Over his last 16 games, Laureano has reached at least four fantasy points nine times (56%). This trend could continue against Ohtani, someone Laureano has had some success against in the past.
In his one game against Ohtani, Laureano soared over this total as he finished the game with a single and two runs scored. Four is such a short number to reach in terms of fantasy points, and Laureano does not have to do much in this game to get there.
Alex Cobb — Over 4 Strikeouts
We have the second matchup of this three-game NL West intra-divisional series as the San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants. Cobb has reached at least four strikeouts in 11 of his last 14 starts, which is a trend I expect to continue against the Padres.
San Diego's offense has been in awful form recently. Over their last five contests, the Padres are averaging just 1.4 runs and 1.2 extra-base hits per game, going 0-5 straight up in the process.
In his one start against San Diego this season, Cobb struck out 10 hitters over five innings pitched.
Mike Yastrzemski — Over 0.5 Total Bases
We will also be backing a few San Francisco hitters in this game, as they are slated to go against right-hander Joe Musgrove. Through 19 starts, Musgrove is 8-5 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP overall.
While those numbers are good, Musgrove has been in awful form of late. In his last seven starts, Musgrove is 0-5 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
The first hitter we are backing is Mike Yastrzemski. He has achieved at least one hit in two of his last three games and should be able to keep it going against a struggling Musgrove.
When facing right-handed pitchers this season, Yastrzemski's numbers take about a 15% jump, as he possesses a .235 BA, .336 OBP, .397 SLG, and .733 OPS overall.
Joey Bart — Over 0.5 Total Bases
The other hitter we're backing in this game is Joey Bart. Currently, he's riding a five-game hit streak and has been on fire.
During that stretch, Bart boasts a .450 BA, and should be able to keep it going against right-hander Joe Musgrove. While Bart losses some power against right-handers, his contact is much better as evidenced by an approximate 25% jump in both BA and OBP.
We just need one hit for Bart to continue this hit streak and get us over the total, which shouldn't be too much to ask against the struggling right-hander.
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