The Boston Red Sox host the Washington Nationals on June 29, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -170 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +141 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction
- Nationals vs Red Sox Pick: Red Sox -1.5
My Nationals vs Red Sox best bet is on Boston to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Red Sox Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -149 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +141 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +124 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
- Nationals vs Red Sox moneyline: Nationals +141, Red Sox -170
- Nationals vs Red Sox over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Nationals vs Red Sox spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+124 ), Nationals +1.5 (-149)
Nationals vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| RHP Miles Mikolas (WAS) | Stat | LHP Ranger Suarez (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L | 3-3 |
| -0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.6 |
| 5.24 / 4.73 | ERA / xERA | 2.83 / 3.25 |
| 5.31 / 4.57 | FIP / xFIP | 2.67 / 3.49 |
| 8.3% | K-BB% | 17.5% |
| 44.7% | GB% | 38.2% |
| .268 | BABIP | .293 |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 111 | Location+ | 105 |
Nationals vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
The Nationals have Miles Mikolas listed today. I don't think they expected to be in the hunt this late into the season, so they've had to try to do something other than to let Mikolas go out there for five innings and get shelled.
So you might see a lefty in there to start the game, but eventually the Red Sox will get some looks at Mikolas and his 4.54 wFIP. He's the #153-ranked SP according to BARTOLO — he's very bad and has very little business still being in the bigs, but I don't think you need me to prove that to you.
I ran the sims model over at MLB Data Warehouse, and the Red Sox come out as the heaviest favorite behind Ranger Suarez. They win this game 71% of the time in the sim — I've rarely seen a number like that. Suarez has been cruising right along with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He's given up two or fewer runs in four straight and has a sick 37:8 K:BB with no homers allowed in his last five starts.
We're getting a decent price on the Red Sox as well at -175. You can take the run line for +120. I'm all over Boston tonight. I'm sure you Red Sox fans reading this are shaking your head at my confidence after the season these guys have had, but it's a good spot for them tonight.
Pick: Red Sox -1.5
