The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees on June 25, 2026. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Yankees are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Red Sox are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
- Yankees vs Red Sox Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+100)
My Yankees vs Red Sox best bet is Over 8.5 Total Runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Red Sox Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -140 | 8 -110o / -110u | -149 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +115 | 8 -110o / -110u | +125 |
- Yankees vs Red Sox moneyline: Yankees -149, Red Sox +125
- Yankees vs Red Sox over/under: 8 (-110o / -110u)
- Yankees vs Red Sox spread: Yankees -1.5 (+115), Red Sox +1.5 (-140)
Yankees vs Red Sox Polymarket MLB Odds
Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
| RHP Cam Schlittler (NYY) | Stat | LHP Connelly Early (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | W-L | 6-5 |
| 3.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 1.71/2.77 | ERA / xERA | 3.64/4.39 |
| 2.12/2.86 | FIP / xFIP | 4.87/4.34 |
| 24.7% | K-BB% | 13.7% |
| 42.8% | GB% | 41.2% |
| .264 | BABIP | .271 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 105 | Location+ | 96 |
Yankees vs Red Sox MLB Betting Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
No one can touch the Yankees in the AL right now. They sit atop the AL East with a 48-31 record and +113 run differential. The closest differential is owned by the Seattle Mariners (+8).
Despite the Tampa Bay Rays being only three games behind the Yankees in the East, there is a wide margin in talent on paper.
This is true of the Yankees' healthy roster, and their eventual roster with Aaron Judge, Max Fried, Trent Grisham, Ryan McMahon, and Giancarlo Stanton back in action.
New York is a deserved favorite in the AL and could reasonably topple the back-to-back champion Los Angeles Dodgers if they meet again in the World Series.
The Dodgers have a full Injured List at the moment. Edwin Diaz, Blake Snell, and Tyler Glasnow are question marks, and healthy starters like Emmett Sheehan and Roki Sasaki are inconsistent. Their potential playoff push will depend on how the rotation shakes out.
The Yankees will have a tough decision to make, given how well their starters are performing. Aside from the stumbling Will Warren, they will need to cut down their rotation and send someone like Ryan Weathers to the bullpen. This is, in layman's terms, rich people's problems.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox are virtually locked in as sellers. They sit dead-last in the AL East with a 32-46 record, four games behind the Orioles. With the Yankees comfortably atop the standings and 15 1/2 games ahead of them, hope is all but lost for the 2026 season.
Likely trade candidates include Aroldis Chapman (who somehow still has it), Willson Contreras, Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez, Garrett Whitlock, and Jarren Duran.
Duran has been on the block for several years now, but given his slump and antics, the buying price was probably too low for Boston's liking.
This Red Sox overhaul is long overdue. They have young talent, specifically in the rotation between Payton Tolle and today's starter, Connelly Early. However, beyond top prospect Franklin Arias, they lack the bats to take them into the next generation.
Roman Anthony is part of that next generation and should be fine for the upcoming seasons, but his 2026 season is all but lost. He played just 30 games this year and hit one HR, while slashing .225/.354/.321.
The former top Red Sox prospect has been dealing with a hand/finger issue and continues to experience discomfort when taking dry swings.
With the season midway through, the Red Sox's record thus far, and the all-star break impending, we will likely not see Anthony until August at the earliest.
Yankees vs Red Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Taking the over on a pitching duel between Cam Schlittler (1.71 ERA, Cy Young candidate) and Connelly Early (3.64 ERA) may seem foolish, but hear me out.
The Yankees' offense remains one of the league's best, despite the absence of reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge. They are second in baseball against LHP (118 wRC+) and have a top-five offense in the past month.
Connelly Early has been solid this season, yet his peripheral numbers are concerning. His ERA is backed by a 4.39 xERA, 4.34 xFIP, and 4.16 SIERA.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are one of the league's worst offenses this season, yet there is a glimmer of light lately. They have averaged 103 wRC+ over the past two weeks.
While a chunk of it is a surge from offseason acquisition Caleb Durbin, who may miss today's game, their core players are doing their part, too.
Also, the Yankees may be in trouble if Schlittler cannot provide length today. Their bullpen is likely without closer David Bednar and set-up man Fernando Cruz. Both relievers have pitched in back-to-back games.
This leaves their bullpen vulnerable and likely reliant on their worst relievers, specifically the struggling Camilo Doval, in high leverage.
Pick: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+100)
