The Detroit Tigers host the Houston Astros on June 25, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SCHN.
The Tigers are favored by -112 on the moneyline and are +1.5 on the run line. The Astros are -104 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Tigers Prediction
- Astros vs Tigers Pick: Over 8.5 (-120)
My Astros vs Tigers best bet is Over 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Tigers Odds
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +162 | 8.5 -120o / -102u | -104 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -196 | 8.5 -120o / -102u | -112 |
- Astros vs Tigers moneyline: Astros -104, Tigers -112
- Astros vs Tigers over/under: 8.5 (-120o /-102u)
- Astros vs Tigers spread: Astros -1.5 (+162), Tigers +1.5 (-196)
Astros vs Tigers Kalshi MLB Odds
Astros vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Tatsuya Imai (RHP, HOU) | Stat | Troy Melton (RHP, DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | W-L | 4-0 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 6.15 / 4.45 | ERA / xERA | 2.56 / 3.81 |
| 4.71 / 4.09 | FIP / xFIP | 5.41 / 4.74 |
| 13.3 | K-BB% | 8.0 |
| 45.6 | GB% | 43.2 |
| .293 | BABIP | .169 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 100 | Location+ | 93 |
Astros vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Astros (39-43) just took two of three from the Blue Jays in a road series. Houston has now won six of its last eight games. They're looking to keep it rolling as they head to Detroit for a four-game series vs. the Tigers.
First-year right-hander Tatsuya Imai takes the mound for the Astros, fresh off a strong outing against the Guardians, where he allowed six earned runs in six innings, along with an impressive 11 strikeouts.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Tigers (34-46) just dropped two in a row, losing a three-game series at home to the Yankees. This was a minor setback following a four-game winning streak. They'll look to get back on track vs. the Astros here.
Troy Melton is on the hill for the Tigers, coming off six strong innings vs. the White Sox, where he allowed one earned run on one hit with three walks and five strikeouts.
Astros vs Tigers Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm riding with Over 8.5 in the Astros vs Tigers game.
For one, Tatsuya Imai has been extremely volatile this season. While he struck out 11 vs. the Guardians, his prior outing included five earned runs in 0.2 innings.
This is a pitcher with a 13.3% walk rate, which is among the worst in MLB. That kind of poor command leads to more base-runners, which bodes well for the Over.
On the other side, Troy Melton is a pitcher who has overperformed his underlying metrics, as his 4.84 SIERA is much higher than his 2.56 ERA. Melton hasn't been able to miss bats so far, as highlighted by an abysmal 15.2% strikeout rate. His good luck so far has been driven by an unsustainable .169 BABIP.
Then we have to acknowledge the weather, with forecasts calling for 11 MPH winds blowing out to left field at Comerica Park, per Action App.
With that in mind, the over looks like a strong play here.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-120, FanDuel)
