Download the App Image

Jordan Wright vs. Bruno Silva UFC 269 Odds, Pick, Prediction: Bet On Early Finish

Jordan Wright vs. Bruno Silva UFC 269 Odds, Pick, Prediction: Bet On Early Finish article feature image
Credit:

Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC fighter Jordan Wright.

  • Bruno Silva is a big favorite in the UFC 269 prelims opener against Jordan Wright.
  • 'The Beverly Hills Ninja' is coming off a knockout win, while Silva is 2-0 in the UFC.
  • Sean Zerillo breaks down the matchup and delivers his betting pick below.

Jordan Wright vs. Bruno Silva Odds

Wright Odds
+280
Silva Odds
-365
Over/Under
1.5 (+140 / -170)
Venue
T-Mobile Arena
Time
Approx. 8 p.m. ET
Channel
ESPN 2
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute UFC odds here.

Bruno Silva goes for his third win in as many UFC fights in the opening primetime prelim at UFC 269 against Jordan Wright. Silva has two straight finishes to begin his career in UFC and faces a tough test in Wright, who is 2-1 in the promotion with a pair of TKO finishes.

Below I preview how these fighters stack up and which side has betting value in this matchup. For more analysis on the rest of the card, you can check out my projections for the entire slate here.

Tale of the Tape

Wright Silva
Record 12-1 (1 NC) 21-6
Avg. Fight Time 2:08 8:40
Height 6’2″ 6’0″
Weight (pounds) 186 lbs. 186 lbs.
Reach (inches) 77″ 74″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Date of birth 10/7/91 7/13/89
Sig Strikes Per Min 7.13 5.13
SS Accuracy 60% 59%
SS Absorbed Per Min 7.49 1.96
SS Defense 39% 37%
Take Down Avg 0.0 0.0
TD Acc 0% 0%
TD Def 100% 68%
Submission Avg 0.0 0.0

This middleweight matchup is the likeliest fight to end in a finish on Saturday, both per my projections (-509) and listed odds (-650).

Wright has never been past the six-minute mark in his career, while Silva has seen 24 of his 27 fights ends inside the distance.

“The Beverly Hills Ninja” is more of a glass cannon than Muniz — who I mentioned in the fight before this one — he comes forward with reckless abandon, closes his eyes, and throws heat, despite a lack of durability and poor reactions when he takes damage.

I’m not exceptionally high on Silva. He offers minimal resistance to takedowns and doesn’t possess any technique, but thrives on durability, physicality, and cardio. That might be more than enough to defeat Jordan Wright, but I’m not sure he can justify his price tag.

The must-have app for UFC bettors

The best UFC betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

Wright vs. Silva Pick

I projected Wright around +254, and I’m interested in a small taste of his moneyline. Wright by finish (listed +425) or to win in Round 1 (+800) might encompass more of his win condition and would require reduced risk on a wager. And Wright by submission (+1000) is a worthy dart throw, considering Silva has never been knocked out.

Lastly, the Under 1.5 Rounds might be the best approach for the total given Wright’s fight history and relentless pacing.

I expect Wright to put it on Silva early and create opportunities for a high variance outcome.

The Pick: Under 1.5 Rounds (-170)

How would you rate this article?