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Bucks vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 5, 2025

Bucks at Hawks

12:30 am • FDSSE

Milwaukee Bucks

1-8
127
127 - 121

Atlanta Hawks

6-4
121

Bucks at Hawks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bucks
1-8
-4.5
-5-110
o244.5-110
-204
Hawks
6-4
u244
+5-110
u244.5-110
+170
location pinWednesday 12:30 a.m.
March 05, 2025
State Farm ArenaAtlanta
Bucks vs. Hawks Expert Picks
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 56-40-0 (+10.6u)
D.Daniels o9.5 Rebs+Ast-136
0.74u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 241.5-110
1u
Under looks strong in this one. Last 12 meetings in Atlanta? Under hit 9 times. Both teams are playing their second game in three nights—fatigue slows pace. Milwaukee’s defense is holding opponents to just 108.6 PPG over the last 5 games. Atlanta also struggles from deep at home (34.5% 3PT), limiting easy scoring runs. Pace and efficiency trends support the Under. Milwaukee allows just 45.2% FG to opponents (4th best in NBA). Atlanta, despite their high-scoring rep, plays slower at home—averaging just 111.2 PPG at State Farm Arena. Last matchup totaled 225 points despite 45/92 shooting from Atlanta—won’t get that efficiency again. Plus, Hawks’ bench scoring has dipped, adding to lower totals. Milwaukee's improved rebounding controls tempo. They’re grabbing 46.0 RPG, top 10 in the league, limiting second chances for Atlanta. Milwaukee also forces tough shots—opponents shoot just 34.9% from three. Hawks’ offense thrives in transition, but Bucks allow only 13 fast-break PPG. Slower game, tough defense—Under 237.5 is the play.
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 60-44-0 (+11.7u)
G.Antetokounmpo o30.5 Pts-124
0.6u
BOL
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 109-122-4 (-0.8u)
G.Antetokounmpo o30.5 Pts-118
1.18u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 75-72-1 (-4.3u)
B.Lopez o14.5 Pts+100
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 123-138-6 (-0.8u)
G.Niang o11.5 Pts-110
1.1u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Lillard o6.5 Ast-130
1u
YBB SportsData
YBB SportsData
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL -5-110
0.91u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 55-73-1 (-11.0u)
G.Antetokounmpo o29.5 Pts+120
0.5u
Hard Rock promo
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL -4.5 (Live)-110
1u
Under 241.5-110
1.1u
ATL +7-110
1u
MIL -5.5-112
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL -5.5-115
0.87u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
B.Lopez o15.5 Pts+Ast-125
1u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
G.Antetokounmpo o30.5 Pts-118
1.18u
JC Cornell
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL -6-110
1.1u

Bucks vs. Hawks Previews & Analysis

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    Tuesday's NBA Best Bets

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bucks vs. Hawks Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bucks

Public

Home Logo

Hawks

41%

Bets%

59%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Hawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Hawks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Hawks are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Hawks' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Hawks' 4 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Hawks		4-61-33-33-51-1
Bucks		3-61-42-20-13-5

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Hawks		5-53-12-43-52-0
Bucks		5-43-22-21-04-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Hawks		6-4N/AN/A5-31-1
Bucks		1-8N/AN/A0-11-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 4th@MEMW 132-130+8 WO 251.5ATL +260
Mar 1stOKCL 119-135+11 LO 247.5OKC +412
Feb 27th@MIAL 109-131+3 LO 229.5MIA +130
Feb 25thMIAW 98-86-2.5 WU 232.5ATL -136
Feb 23rdDETL 143-148+2 LO 239DET +112

Hawks vs. Bucks Injury Updates

Hawks Injuries

  • Jock Landale
    C

    Landale is out with hip

    Out

  • Mouhamed Gueye
    PF

    Gueye is out with foot

    Out

  • Asa Newell
    PF

    Newell is out with toe

    Out

  • Henri Veesaar
    C

    Veesaar is out with knee

    Out

Bucks Injuries

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    Player Stats
    • scoring
      player logo
      -
      28
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Dyson Daniels logo
      Dyson Daniels
      9
      rpg
    • assists
      player logo
      -
      13
      apg
    • shooting
      Mouhamed Gueye logo
      Mouhamed Gueye
      71.4
      fg%
    Team Stats

    49-95 (52%)
    Field Goals
    46-101 (46%)
    18-23 (78%)
    Free Throws
    13-17 (76%)
    11-37 (30%)
    3P
    16-41 (39%)
    50
    Rebounds
    47
    27
    Assists
    32
    Turnovers
    8
    Steals
    10
    1
    Blocks
    6
    13
    Fouls
    21

    Bucks vs. Hawks Odds Comparison

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    Bucks at Hawks Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Bucks
    1-8
    N/A
    N/A
    Hawks
    6-4
    N/A
    N/A